The Likelihood, Consequences and Policy Implications of PA Collapse or Dissolution:

January 2013-February 2014

PSR has initiated in January 2013 a policy research project that aimed at exploring Palestinian conditions and options in the day after the PA ceases to function. The initiative sought to produce a series of expert papers focusing on the main challenging areas of the “day after” in Palestinian political, social, financial, economic, and security life.

The initiative’s point of departure is that the PA may collapse or may decide to dissolve itself in the near future under the heavy weight of various financial and political pressures.  [More] 

Security Sector and Justice System Index

March 2011 - April 2012
 

PSR had conducted three polls on Security Sector and Justice System Reform. These polls were conducted in three waves between April 2011 and April 2012. Specifically: wave (I): April 28th – May 1st, 2011; wave (II): September 22nd - 24th, and 29th – October, 1st, 201; and wave (III)*: March, 28th – April, 1st, 2012. The goal of the surveys has been to assess public expectations and perception of the capacity, performance, reforms, role and other aspects of the security sector including relevant aspects of the justice system. [More]

2 September 2014​

Gaza War ends with a victory for Hamas leading to a great increase in its popularity and the popularity of its approach of armed resistance: for the first time since 2006, Hamas wins parliamentary and presidential elections if they were to take place today while West Bankers support transferring Hamas’ approach to the West Bank

This survey was conducted with the support of the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung in Ramallah.  

26-30 August 2014

These are the results of the latest poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip between 26-30 August 2014. The period before the poll witnessed the eruption of the Gaza War which was preceded by the kidnapping and killing of three Israelis. More than 2000 Palestinians, mostly civilians, were killed during the war. About 70 Israelis, mostly from the military, were killed during the war. Our fieldwork started on the last day of the war and continued during the first four days of the ceasefire.  This press release covers public perception of the war, who came out a winner, the ceasefire agreement, targeting of civilians, evaluation of the performance of various Palestinian actors during the war, and war impact on reconciliation. It also covers Palestinian elections, the internal balance of power, the June kidnapping and killing of the three Israelis, and others. Total size of the sample is 1270 adults interviewed face to face in 127 randomly selected locations. Margin of error is 3%.

For further details, contact PSR director, Dr. Khalil Shikaki, or Walid Ladadweh at tel 02-296 4933 or email pcpsr@pcpsr.org

 

Main Findings:

Findings of this special Gaza War poll highlight dramatic changes in public attitudes regarding major issues. It goes without saying that the war was the major driver behind these changes. As expected, and as we saw in previous instances during and immediately after Israeli wars with Hamas, findings show a spike in the popularity of Hamas and its leaders and a major decline in the popularity of Fatah and president Abbas.  But, as in previous cases, these changes might be temporary and things might revert in the next several months to where they were before the war.....More

Success of reconciliation creates great expectations and restores confidence in the PA; meanwhile a majority does not view reconciliation as closing the door to negotiations with Israel; to the contrary, a majority supports the two-state solution and wants the conciliation government to accept existing agreements with Israel.

This joint survey was conducted with the support of  the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Ramallah

  5-7 June 2014

These are the results of the latest poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip between 5-7 June 2014. The period before the poll witnessed the success of the reconciliation talks between Fatah and Hamas and the formation of a reconciliation government headed by Rami al Hamdallah. Israeli-Palestinian negotiations were suspended for more than two months before the conduct of the poll and the US efforts in this regard came to a halt. This press release covers public perception of the process of internal reconciliation, public evaluation of the general West Bank and Gaza conditions, elections, public satisfaction with the performance of President Mahmud Abbas, the internal balance of power between Fateh and Hamas, and others. Total size of the sample is 1270 adults interviewed face to face in 127 randomly selected locations. Margin of error is 3%.

For further details, contact PSR director, Dr. Khalil Shikaki, or Walid Ladadweh at tel 02-296 4933 or emailpcpsr@pcpsr.org

Main Findings:

Findings of the second quarter of 2014 show a great deal of public optimism about matters related to the reconciliation agreement: a majority believes the agreement will be implemented, that economic conditions will improve, that the Rafah crossing with Egypt will reopen, that the state of public liberties will improve and detentions on political grounds will stop, that elections will take place on time after six months, and that the Arab states will fulfill their promises to financially support the Palestinian Authority. Indeed, the success of reconciliation efforts have restored confidence in the PA, as the public now sees it as an accomplishment that must be protected.

Findings show that a majority favors changing the status quo at the Rafah crossing with Egypt by deploying presidential guard units at that crossing. Yet, the majority also favors continued Hamas control over security in the Gaza Strip on temporary basis up until the holding of elections. Findings also show that Hamas’ popularity has increased somewhat. Similarly, public satisfaction with Abbas has increased; if presidential elections were to take place today, he would win.......More

While a majority would reject the Framework document if it includes recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people, most Palestinians support extending negotiations and postponing joining international organizations to the end of the year in return for an Israeli release of new Palestinian prisoners; a majority also believes that Abbas will accept the Framework document and will extend negotiation to the end of 2014

20-22 March 2014

These are the results of the latest poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip between 20-22 March 2014. The period before the poll witnessed continued Palestinian-Israeli negotiations but with significant instances of sharp disagreements over the contents of the American proposed Framework document.  It also witnessed the release by Israel of another group of Palestinian prisoners. Several deadly confrontations between Palestinians and the Israeli army led a growing number of Palestinian martyrs. ,..... [More]

Despite the halt in Israeli Palestinian negotiations, 66% of the Palestinians and 52% of the Israelis think that these negotiations will resume. At the same time each side continues to view the intentions of the other as posing an existential threat. Regarding conflict resolution: consistent with previous results,  62% of Israelis and 54% of Palestinians support a two-state solution

8-15 June 2014

These are the results of the most recent poll conducted jointly by the Harry S. Truman Research Institute for the Advancement of Peace at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research in Ramallah.  

  • Given the halt in Israeli Palestinian negotiations, 14% of the Israelis and 36% of the Palestinians think that the two sides will soon return to negotiations. 38% of the Israelis and 30% of the Palestinians think that the two sides will return to negotiations but some armed attacks will take place. By contrast, 28% of the Israelis and 16% of the Palestinians think that the two sides will not return to negotiations and some armed attacks will take place. ... More