CPRS Polls - Survey Research Unit
Public Opinion Poll #18
Redeployment Agreement, PNA Performance, Prisoners Release, Electoral System, and Other Topics, July 6-9, 1995
The Proposed Agreement on Redeployment, Elections, and Extending Palestinian Authority.

The majority of the respondents said that they approve of the proposed agreements. Less than 30% showed their disapproval. The results show that support for the agreement was higher in the West Bank than in the Gaza Strip. Support was higher in the North of the West Bank than the Middle and the South. For Example, 41% of the respondents from the Hebron area opposed the proposed agreement. In the South of the Gaza, opposition to the proposed agreement reached to 48%. The results show that refugee camp residents are less supportive of the proposed agreement than city and village residents. Support for the agreement decreases with education as 60% of the least educated support the agreement and only 23% of the most educated support it (see Table 4) .

Table 4

Support for Redeployment Agreement by Education

                            Yes%          No%                  Don't Know%          
Up to 9-Years               59.6          22.5                 17.9                 
Tawjihi                     52.7          31.6                 15.7                 
College                     55.6          33.9                 10.5                 
Bachelor                    49.6          42.7                 07.7                 

Table 5

Support for Redepoyment Agreement by Political Affiliation

                            Yes%          No%                  Don't Know%          
Hamas                       38.7          47.9                 13.4                 
PFLP                        25.5          61.7                 12.8                 
Fateh                       75.4          13.7                 10.9                 
Jihad                       32.4          52.9                 14.7                 
Is. Ind.                    33.3          51.9                 14.8                 
Na. Ind.                    54.9          31.4                 13.7                 
Others                      58.6          25.3                 16.1                 
No one                      34.5          38.4                 27.1                 

Extending Palestinian authority to the West Bank in view of redeployment

The majority of Palestinians viewed the extension of Palestinian authority in the West Bank with either indifference or reservation. In contrast, less than a majority said that they were looking forward to PNA authority in view of the proposed redeployment plan. The percentage of those looking forward to extending PNA authority is slightly higher among West Bank respondents than those from Gaza. Jerusalem and Ramallah residents expressed most reservations concerning the issue. In Bethlehem and South Gaza the percentage of those looking forward to extending PA to West bank didn't exceed 30%. The results show that refugee camp residents are less enthused to extending PA to West Bank than village and city residents. Reservations are also high among men as 55% of them expressed a cautious attitude. University graduates, employees, and specialists expressed high degrees of reservations (see Table 6).

Table 6

Considering Redeployment, View of Extending PNA by Education

                    Forward%     Neutral%      Reservations%    Don't Know%      
Up to 9-Years         51.6        29.4             12.4             06.6             
Tawjihi               43.4        31.1             20.7             04.8             
College               31.5        35.5             29.8             03.2             
Bachelor              27.4        28.2             39.3             05.1             

Table 7

Considering Redeployment, View of Extending PNA by Political Affiliation

                    Forward%     Neutral%      Reservations%    Don't Know%      
Hamas                 28.7        35.7             29.4             06.3             
PFLP                  14.9        40.4             42.6             02.1             
Fateh                 60.3        25.2             12.8             01.7             
Jihad                 20.6        41.2             17.6             20.6             
Is. Ind.              14.8        22.2             51.9             11.1             
Na. Ind.              28.8        42.3             26.9             01.9             
Others                55.7        19.3             17.0             08.0             
No one                30.5        38.9             20.7             09.9             

Palestinian state is near?

A total of 43.5% said that redeployment means the beginning of a Palestinian state while 38.9% disagreed with them. There was no difference between the West Bank and Gaza respondents concerning this question. Division regarding this issue is most pervasive if we look at educational attainment of the respondents. A total of 28% of the least educated said that redeployment doesn't mean the beginning of a Palestinian state, compared with 60% of the most educated. In addition, more than 53% of students, employees, and specialists said that redepolyment doesn't mean the beginning of a Palestinian state. The largest percentage of respondents in Nablus, Ramallah, Hebron, Bethlehem, and South Gaza shared this view (see Table 8).

Table 8

Does Redeployment Mean a Possible State by Education

                            Yes %         No%                  Don't Know%          
Up to 9-Years               49.1          28.4                 22.4                 
Tawjihi                     44.6          42.5                 12.9                 
College                     29.0          52.4                 18.5                 
Bachelors                   29.1          59.0                 12.0                 

The Performance of Palestinian Leadership in the Negotiations

Less than one-third of the respondents described the performance of the Palestinian negotiators as "good". Another one-third said it was mutawasit*(fair) while a quarter of the respondents described their performance as "weak". More Gazans said that the Palestinian performance during the negotiations was "mutawasit" or "good" than did West Bank respondents. A total of 47% of the most educated said that the performance was "weak", compared with 18% of the least educated. The largest percentage among refugee camp residents, men, employees, merchants, and specialists evaluated this performance as "weak" (see Table 9).

*mutawasit in Arabic literally means "middle". Those interested in comparing these results with previous results should be advised that it has sometimes been translated as "average" though CPRS believes that "fair" is a better translation, as long as it is not mistakenly understood as "just".

Table 9

Palestinian Leadership Performance in Negotiations by Education

                         Good%        Average%       Weak%     Don't Know%        
Up to 9-Years            36.6         30.6           18.2         14.7               
Tawjihi                  30.3         36.6           24.0         09.0               
College                  24.2         31.5           39.5         04.8               
Bachelor                 17.9         24.8           47.0         10.3               

PNA Performance Concerning Palestinian Prisoners

Palestinians were split over this issue with 37.6% describing the performance of the PNA concerning the release of Palestinian prisoners as "weak" and 36.2% describing it as "good". Negative evaluation was more widespread in Gaza than in the West Bank. A total of 46% of refugee camp residents said that the performance of the PNA in this regard was "weak"; only 24% of them said it was "good." Men were more critical of the performance of PNA than women, as 44% of the men said that the performance of the PNA was "weak" and 33% of the women said so. Critical evaluation of the PNA performance concerning release of prisoners reached 50% among students, university graduates, and it reached 59% among specialists (see Table 10).

Table 10

PNA Performance with Regard to Prisoners by Education

                         Good%        Average%     Weak%      Don't Know%        
Up to 9-Years            43.9         17.4         29.2          09.5               
Tawjihi                  31.7         22.8         41.6          03.9               
College                  26.6         22.6         48.4          02.4               
Bachelor                 25.6         15.4         50.4          08.5               

Table 11

PNA Performance with Regard to Prisoners by Political Affiliation

                         Good%        Average%     Weak%       Don't Know%        
Hamas                    37.8         14.7         42.7           04.9               
PFLP                     19.1         08.5         68.1           04.3               
Fateh                    46.0         20.8         28.4           04.8               
Jihad                    26.5         08.8         58.8           05.9               
Is. Ind.                 18.5         22.2         55.6           03.7               
Na. Ind.                 30.8         26.9         38.5           03.8               
Others                   30.7         14.8         36.4           18.2               
No One                   24.6         22.2         44.3           08.9               

Palestinian views of Israel

The results of this poll show that Palestinians do not trust Israel. While lack of trust of Israel is widespread in Palestine, it is higher in the West Bank than in the Gaza Strip.

Appointments to PNA institutions

Palestinians were polled concerning their views of the employment practices of PNA institutions. They said that appointments were made, primarily, based on wastah (i.e. connections) while only one-fifth of the respondents said that these appointments were primarily based on qualifications. The results show a stark difference between West Bank and Gaza respondents regarding this issue; more Gazans felt that wasta was necessary to be appointed in a PNA institution. A total of 78% of refugee camp respondents said that wasta was the primary basis for PNA appointments; 75% of students, employees, and specialists shared this view (see Table 12).

Table 12

Appointment to PNA Institutions by Education

                Qualifications%     Wasta%          Others%                 
Up to 9-Years         27.1           54.6            18.3                    
Tawjihi               15.7           71.7            12.7                    
College               11.7           75.8            12.5                    
Bachelor              09.7           74.3            15.9                    

Table 13

Appointment to PNA Institutions by Political Affiliation

                Qualifications%     Wasta%          Others%                 
Hamas                 10.7           77.9            11.4                    
PFLP                  08.5           78.7            12.8                    
Fateh                 27.9           58.2            13.9                    
Jihad                 11.8           82.4            05.9                    
Is. Ind.              11.5           65.4            23.1                    
Na. Ind.              13.5           73.1            13.5                   
Others                14.9           55.2            29.9                    
No one                14.6           64.6            20.7                    

Choice of electoral system

The majority of Palestinians polled chose an electoral system based on proportional representation, and less than one-third chose a majority system. While support for proportional representation is equal among respondents from the West Bank and Gaza, there is less support for a majority system in Gaza than in the West Bank. Support for proportional representation was highest among university graduates as it reached 69%. Students and employees were also supportive of a proportional system (see Table 14).

Table 14

Electoral System by Education

                   Majority%     Proportional%           Don't Know%             
Up to 9-Years        34.5           42.2                    23.3                    
Tawjihi              31.1           53.6                    15.3                    
College              19.4           68.5                    12.1                    
Bachelor             30.8           63.2                    06.0                    

Table 15

Electoral System by Political Affiliation

                   Majority%     Proportional%           Don't Know%             
Hamas                28.7           55.2                    16.1                    
PFLP                 27.7           61.7                    10.6                    
Fateh                39.1           46.6                    14.3                    
Jihad                35.3           44.1                    20.6                    
Is. Ind.             33.3           51.9                    14.8                    
Na. Ind.             19.2           75.0                    05.8                    
Others               26.1           56.8                    17.0                    
No one               23.3           46.5                    30.2                    

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