CPRS Polls - Survey Research Unit
Public Opinion Poll #19
Armed Attacks, Palestinian-Jordanian Relations, Negotiations, Elections and Other Issues of Concern, August-September 1995
13. Political affiliation

The popularity of Fateh has not changed in the West Bank (43.9%), but has dropped almost 2% in the Gaza Strip bringing Fateh's total support to 43.2%. Support for independent groups has increased with Islamic Independents receiving 9.9% in this poll compared to July's 2.5% and Nationalist Independents' support increasing from 4.8% to 6.4% this month. National Leftist groups (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and Fida) received only a total of 6.1%. The least support for Fateh is in the areas of Bethlehem and Jerusalem (see Table 22).

Table 22
Political Affiliation by Place of Residence*
No one/ Sympathy %
Other
%
Nat.
Ind.
%
Is. Ind.
%
Is. Jihad %
Fateh
%
PFLP
%
Hamas
%
11.1 1.6 4.0 7.2 1.6 52.0 2.4 17.6 Nablus
6.9 2.7 3.6 14.5 1.8 41.8 5.5 19.1 Tulkarm
8.2 3.2 3.2 9.5 3.2 48.4 2.1 17.9 Jenin
26.7 1.0 2.9 8.6 1.9 41.0 3.8 10.5 Ramallah
13.9 4.5 4.5 7.6 2.3 43.9 4.5 17.4 Hebron
18.0 --- 14.5 7.2 2.9 30.4 5.8 15.9 Bethlehem
18.0 1.1 12.4 7.9 3.4 39.3 6.7 5.6 Jerusalem
1.8 --- 4.6 15.4 3.1 47.7 4.6 18.5 Gaza N.
18.5 0.6 5.8 13.5 1.9 35.5 1.3 23.2 Gaza City
16.1 --- 4.9 10.5 1.2 41.4 6.8 17.9 Gaza M.
25.7 1.5 4.5 7.6 1.5 45.5 3.0 6.1 Gaza S.
*DFLP, Fida, and PPP are not included in this table because of small sample size resulting in row totals of less than 100% in some cases. Results for Jericho are not included for the same reason.
* Margin of error is more than 3% because of small sample size.

Appendix
                                              Total  West Bank Gaza
1. I expect a lasting peace between Palestinians and Israelis. 
a. Yes                                        19.1%     18.9%  19.6%
b. To a large extent                           4.1%      3.0%   6.0%
c. To some extent                             12.4%     13.2%  10.9%
d. No                                         59.5%     60.2%  58.4%
e. Don't know                                 04.9%     04.7%  05.1%
2. In general, I think Palestinian society is headed in the right direction. 
a. Yes                                        32.6%     36.2%  26.0%
b. To a large extent                          04.4%     03.3%  06.2%
c. To some extent                             28.6%     27.6%  30.4%
d. No                                         28.9%     26.5%  33.4%
e. Don't know                                 05.5%     06.4%  04.0%
3. Palestinian Authority must guarantee the human right of free speech. 
a. Strongly agree                             58.2%     56.0%  62.0%
b. Agree                                      38.1%     39.8%  35.1%
c. Disagree                                   01.8%     02.1%  01.4%
d. Strongly disagree                          00.6%     00.7%  00.2%
e. Don't know                                 01.3%     01.4%  01.3%
4. With regard to future Palestinian-Jordanian relations, I support the establishment of: 
a. Two independent states                     61.2%     58.1%  67.0%
b. A complete unity                           17.2%     19.3%  12.4%
c. A confederation                            20.2%     20.9%  18.9%
d. Other                                      01.4%     01.7%  01.7%
5. Given the political and economic circumstances here, and the Palestinian-
Israeli negotiations, are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future? 
a. Optimistic                                 49.5%     49.4%  49.5%
b. Pessimistic                                28.8%     30.2%  26.3%
c. Not sure                                   21.7%     20.4%  24.2%
6. Do you support the continuation of the current peace negotiations 
between the PLO and Israel? 
a. Yes                                        70.6%     69.2%  73.1%
b. No                                         18.8%     20.4%  15.9% 
c. Not sure                                   10.6%     10.4%  11.0%
7. With regard to armed attacks against Israeli civilian targets, I... 
a. Support them                               18.3%     17.6%  19.6%
b. Oppose them                                73.9%     74.9%  72.2%
c. Have no opinion                            07.8%     07.5%  08.2%
8. With regard to armed attacks against Israeli army targets, I... 
a. Support them                              67.6%     66.7%  69.2%
b. Oppose them                               23.7%     23.2%  24.6%
c. Have no opinion                           08.7%     10.1%  06.2%
9. With regard to armed attacks against Israeli settlers, I... 
a. Support them                              69.2%     71.2%  65.8%
b. Oppose them                               24.3%     22.8%  27.1%
c. Have no opinion                           06.5%     06.0%  07.1%
10. Following the peace process and implementation of autonomy in Gaza and 
Jericho, my economic situation and standard of living is... 
a. Better                                    09.8%     09.2%  10.8%
b. Worse                                     43.5%     35.9%  57.0%
c. Same as before                            45.2%     53.7%  30.4%
d. Don't know                                01.5%     01.1%  01.8%
11. What is your evaluation of the performance of the Palestinian National 
Authority? 
a. Excellent                                 10.5%     10.1%  11.3%
b. Good                                      28.1%     29.6%  25.4%
c. Fair                                      35.2%     33.0%  39.0%
d. Weak                                      12.5%     11.8%  13.6%
e. Bad                                       06.1%     06.3%  05.8%
d. Don't know                                07.6%     09.2%  04.9%
12. If an independent election to choose the president of the Palestinian 
Authority takes place and the following nominate themselves, I will choose: 
a. Ahmed Yassin                              17.2%     17.8%  14.5%
b. Yassir Arafat                             53.7%     50.3%  59.4%
c. Hayder Abdel Shafi                        07.2%     08.8%  05.7%
d. George Habash                             04.3%     04.5%  03.6%
e. Other                                     17.6%     18.6%  16.8%
13. In my opinion, the best way to choose the members of the Palestinian 
Council of the Palestinian Interim Self-Governing Authority is... 
a. Appointment by PLO                        09.0%     09.3%  07.6%
b. Appointment by political                  02.8%     02.2%  04.0%
groups on a quota basis.
c. Political elections                       86.3%     86.3%  86.4%
d. Other                                     01.9%     02.2%  02.0%
14. Will you participate in general political elections to choose the 
members of the PISGA council? 
a. Yes                                      74.1%      75.7%  71.2%
b. No                                       16.0%      15.7%  16.4%
c. Not sure                                  9.9%       8.6%  12.4%
15. Which of the following factions do you support: 
a. Hamas                                    16.6%      15.6%  18.4%
b. Fateh                                    43.2%      43.9%  41.8%
c. Islamic Jihad                            02.6%      02.7%  01.7%
d. PFLP                                     04.2%      04.1%  04.3%
e. Fida                                     00.6%      00.7%  00.3%
f. PPP                                      00.6%      00.7%  00.3%
g. DFLP                                     00.7%      00.8%  00.4%
h. Islamic Ind.                             09.4%      08.5%  11.1%
i. Nationalist Ind.                         05.8%      06.1%  05.0%
j. None of the above/                       15.2%      14.6%  16.1%
No sympathy
k. Other                                    01.1%      02.3%  00.6%

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