Taba Agreement, Elections, Jordanian-Palestinian Relations, Evaluation of PNA October 1995
Palestinian-Jordanian Relations
Jordan Palestine National Sample
% Refugee Camps
% West Bank
% Gaza Strip
% West Bank
& Gaza
% PNA/Jordan Very Strong 36.6 39.5 19.4 12.2 16.7 Strong 52.9 49.8 52.0 53.6 52.6 Not Strong 04.9 05.8 17.7 17.6 17.7 Bad 01.4 01.5 05.5 04.7 05.2 Don't Know 04.2 03.5 05.4 11.9 07.8 PNA/Syria Very Strong 03.4 03.0 02.8 01.4 02.3 Strong 30.5 28.5 22.2 18.1 20.7 Not Strong 31.3 28.3 32.2 26.3 30.0 Bad 13.6 17.3 26.3 33.3 28.9 Don't Know 21.2 23.0 16.5 20.9 18.1 PNA/Egypt Very Strong 10.4 11.5 28.2 46.5 35.1 Strong 48.6 45.0 43.3 33.8 39.7 Not Strong 18.4 17.3 13.3 08.2 11.4 Bad 05.6 08.5 05.6 05.9 05.7 Don't Know 17.0 17.8 09.6 05.6 08.1
II. Peace Negotiation PerformanceWith regard to peace negotiations with Israel, most Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip evaluate the performance of Jordanian negotiators as successful and that of Palestinian negotiators as fairly successful. As for Syrian performance, Palestinian opinion is split. No significant difference can be found between Palestinian and Jordanian respondents regarding the evaluation of the management of negotiations with Israel (Table 18).
Table 18
Management of Negotiations with Israel
Jordan Palestine National Sample
% Refugee Camps
% West Bank
% Gaza Strip
% West Bank & Gaza
% Palestinian Authority Successful 31.9 34.8 31.7 39.9 34.8 Fairly Successful 38.9 35.5 40.6 41.3 40.9 A Little Successful 10.4 08.2 15.3 08.2 12.7 Unsuccessful 13.8 16.8 10.0 06.8 08.8 Don't Know 05.5 04.8 02.4 03.8 02.8 Syria Successful 12.6 15.0 26.7 29.8 27.9 Fairly Successful 18.3 17.3 15.0 11.3 13.6 A Little Successful 15.3 14.5 12.2 13.6 12.7 Unsuccessful 34.0 29.5 28.5 23.2 26.5 Don't Know 19.8 23.8 17.6 22.1 19.3 Jordan Successful 80.9 73.8 67.4 62.9 65.7 Fairly Successful 16.0 11.5 13.9 16.2 14.8 A Little Successful 03.3 04.2 04.4 04.2 04.3 Unsuccessful 05.3 07.8 08.4 04.9 07.1 Don't Know 04.4 02.8 05.9 11.7 08.1 In spite of the high assessment of the Jordan's ability to negotiate with Israel, most of the Palestinian respondents (55%) believe that Jordan did not obtain all its land rights. Moreover, 56% of the Palestinians believe that Jordan did not obtain all its water rights as a result of the peace agreement with Israel. Jordan, however, is seen as more successful in the area of security negotiations as 53% think that Jordan did achieve all its rights in security. The results of the poll conducted in Jordan show dramatic variances between residents of Jordan and those of Palestine concerning views on these issues. Jordan respondents view Jordan's performance in the negotiations more positively than do respondents from the West Bank and Gaza (Table 19).
Table 19
Evaluation of Jordan's Success in Peace Treaty
Jordan Palestine National Sample
% Refugee Camps
% West Bank
% Gaza Strip
% West Bank
& Gaza
% Land Rights Achieved 63.4 53.3 33.4 26.6 30.9 Did Not Achieve 28.8 37.0 54.5 55.8 55.0 Don't Know 07.8 09.8 12.1 17.6 14.1 Water Rights Achieved 49.2 46.8 23.5 13.2 19.6 Did Not Achieve 37.9 38.0 57.3 54.5 56.3 Don't Know 12.9 15.3 19.2 32.3 24.1 Security Rights Achieved 73.9 67.8 53.2 51.8 52.7 Did Not Achieve 17.8 24.0 33.3 27.0 30.9 Don't Know 08.3 08.2 13.5 21.2 16.4
III. Palestinian-Jordanian Relations79% of Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip believe that Jordanians and Palestinians have a special relationship not found between Palestinians and any other Arabs. This compares with more than 91% among the respondents in Jorwho express this view (Table 20).
Table 20
The Palestinian-Jordanian Relationship is Special?
Jordan Palestine National Sample
% Refugee Camps
% West Bank
% Gaza Strip
% West Bank
& Gaza
% Correct 91.1 94.5 82.6 73.2 79.1 Incorrect 07.2 04.5 15.7 17.9 16.5 Don't Know 01.8 01.0 01.7 08.9 04.4
IV. Unity Between Palestine and Jordan74% of respondents from Palestine support the establishment of a form of unity with Jordan in the future, compared with over 83% of Jordanian residents who are in favor of the union (Table 21).
Table 21
Unity between Palestine and Jordan
Jordan Palestine National Sample
% Refugee Camps
% West Bank
% Gaza Strip
% West Bank & Gaza
% Yes 83.9 93.0 73.5 77.3. 73.6 No 12.8 05.3 21.9 21.4 21.8 Don't Know 03.3 01.7 03.7 04.7 04.0 Among those supporters of a future political unity between Jordan and Palestine, 61% advocate a confederation, while about 33% support complete unity or a federation. While support for confederation is higher in the Gaza Strip, support for complete unity or federation is higher in the West Bank. Although support for complete unity was the first choice of a majority of Jordan respondents, where 58% of them declared support for such a form of unity and support for complete unity reaches 69% among residents of refugee camps in Jordan, support for confederation is lower in Jordan than in the West Bank and Gaza Strip (Table 22).
Table 22
Form of Unity Between Palestine and Jordan
Jordan Palestine National Sample
% Refugee Camps
% West Bank
% Gaza Strip
% West Bank & Gaza
% Complete
Union58.1 69.9 29.1 18.8 25.3 Federation 10.6 08.3 08.0 05.9 07.3 Confed. 21.2 16.4 57.1 66.8 60.6 Others 00.3 00.5 03.0 03.6 03.2 Don't Know 03.2 03.8 02.7 04.9 03.6 Support for complete unity is found particularly in Nablus, Jenin, and Hebron, while support for confederation is strongest in Jerusalem, Jericho, Ramallah, and Gaza (Table 23).
Table 23
Support for Unity by Place of Residence
Yes
%No
%Don't Know
%Nablus 70.8 23.3 05.8 Tulkarm 85.6 10.6 03.8 Jenin 76.7 18.6 04.7 Jericho 80.0 20.0 --- Ramallah 64.1 28.2 07.8 Hebron 71.2 26.5 02.3 Bethlehem 76.7 23.3 --- Jerusalem 74.7 24.0 01.3 Gaza North 62.3 32.8 04.9 Gaza City 85.5 12.3 02.2 Gaza Middle 66.4 27.0 06.6 Gaza South 74.2 20.4 05.4
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