B. Voting Behavior and PartisanshipThe largest percentage of Palestinians (43%) announced that their selection will rest primarily on the candidates themselves. Another 23% said that they will vote for a political party, while 24% will vote for candidates from
different lists. There is no difference between West Bank and the Gaza Strip regarding this question. A majority of the residents of Jerusalem (53.8%) will vote for candidates from one party, while the largest percentage of Hebron residents (37.1). Will vote for candidates from various parties (see Table 4).
Table 4
Partisanship by Place of Interview
From One Party From Various Parties Depends on Candidate Nablus 26.0 18.3 48.9 Tulkarm 18.3 21.1 54.1 Jenin 25.0 20.0 47.5 Ramallah 10.2 20.3 54.7 Hebron 21.6 37.1 28.4 Bethlehem 22.9 21.4 44.3 Jerusalem 53.8 22.5 13.8 Gaza N. 27.7 33.8 27.7 Gaza City 23.0 28.6 42.9 Gaza M. 16.4 21.6 47.0 Gaza S. 20.0 18.6 52.9 Readiness to elect candidates can be correlated to level of education. More Bachelor degree holders will choose from various parties and based on the candidates themselves than will illiterate voters, while intention to vote for candidates from one party decreases among the educated (see Table 5).
Table 5
Partisanship by Education
From One Party From Various Parties Depends on Candidate Illiterate 28.9 20.8 28.3 Elementary 27.7 22.5 39.3 Preparatory 21.0 20.6 53.3 Secondary 23.4 25.8 44.4 2 yr. College 14.7 26.5 49.0 Bachelor 16.5 30.3 42.2
C. Criteria in selecting candidatesTable 6A candidate's participation in the struggle is the most important factor for 27 % of Palestinians in their choice of a candidate. A candidate's academic attainment is of primary importance for 22 % of respondents, while 20 % value religiosity. About 19% intend to make their choices based on political affiliation and 3.4% will rely on their family relationship to the candidate. The residents of Hebron and Jericho are most concerned with candidates' religiosity, while those of Jerusalem, and North and Middle Gaza place a higher value on the candidates' participation in the struggle (see Table 6).
Most Important Factor in Candidate Selection by Place of Interview
Political Affiliation Family Ties Academic Attainment Religiosity Particip. in Struggle Others Nablus 19.6 02.7 15.2 28.6 25.0 08.9 Tulkarm 21.8 05.5 20.0 16.4 27.3 09.1 Jenin 24.1 08.9 25.3 25.3 12.7 03.8 Ramallah 20.6 04.0 24.6 11.9 20.6 18.3 Hebron 06.8 03.4 25.6 40.2 20.5 03.4 Bethlehem 21.1 05.6 18.3 12.7 28.2 14.1 Jerusalem 19.2 --- 17.9 19.2 39.7 03.8 Gaza N. 12.3 03.1 35.4 09.2 32.3 07.7 Gaza City 27.3 01.2 20.5 13.7 27.3 09.9 Gaza M. 15.8 03.0 22.6 18.8 35.3 04.5 Gaza S. 15.7 02.9 22.9 22.9 27.1 08.6
II. Knowledge of the Electoral LawIt was obvious from the results of the poll that Palestinians lack a good knowledge of the Electoral Law. A majority of Palestinians (55%) mistakenly think that the electoral law permits only a relative to accompany an illiterate person to the voting booth. Another 34% mistakenly think that the law permits voters to select persons from only one party. Ignorance of the details of the law is more widespread in the West Bank than in the Gaza Strip as well as among women and the elderly. There is a direct relationship between level of education and knowledge of the law's provisions, where respondents with more education were better informed about the law.
*rows do not add up to 100% because there were other choices in the question
Will Boycott Will Participate Will Have Important Role 08.6 80.7 Will Not Have Important Role 47.2 33.7
Trust Doubt Don t Know City 72.0 05.6 19.4 Town 69.2 14.2 16.7 Village 67.6 16.0 16.4 Refugee Camp 61.6 17.3 21.1 Skepticism was also high among students, employees, professors, and bachelors. Trust in the elections, like belief in the council's role, affects Palestinians' intentions to participate in the elections. About 37% of those polled do not trust the electoral process and consequently will not participate, while over 80% have confidence in the process and intend to vote (see Table 9).
Table 9
Participation in Elections by Trust of Electoral Process
Boycott Participate Not Sure Trust 08.7 80.9 10.4 Doubt 37.3 41.3 21.3 Don t Know 15.3 57.9 26.9
Participation in ElectionsA majority of 71 % of the respondents said they would participate in the elections even if the opposition calls for a boycott, while 14% said they would not vote, and 15% said they are not sure.
*N- north, M- middle, S- south.
Hamas PFLP Fateh Islamic Jihad Islamic Ind. National Ind. Other No One Nablus 17.7 03.1 50.0 --- 01.5 04.6 03.1 13.1 Tulkarm 08.2 01.8 51.5 05.0 03.0 05.0 05.9 14.9 Jenin 07.5 01.3 62.5 02.5 03.8 --- 01.3 20.0 Ramallah 05.0 04.2 58.3 00.8 05.0 01.7 16.7 07.5 Hebron 16.5 03.5 39.1 02.6 10.4 10.4 00.9 08.7 Bethlehem 04.5 06.0 61.2 --- 04.5 04.5 01.5 11.9 Jerusalem 08.1 04.1 45.9 05.4 02.7 02.7 04.1 23.0 Gaza N. 09.2 07.7 63.1 --- 01.5 03.1 03.1 09.2 Gaza City 11.1 03.9 68.0 01.3 00.7 01.3 01.3 11.1 Gaza M. 06.0 05.3 54.9 03.8 01.5 03.8 06.0 16.5 Gaza S. 07.2 02.9 58.0 05.8 02.9 01.4 01.4 17.4
*DFLP, Feda, and PPP are not included in this table because of small sample size resulting in tow totals less than 100% in some cases. Results for Jericho were not included for the same reason.
*Margin of error is more than 3 % because of small sample size.
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