Survey Research Unit

PSR - Survey Research Unit: Israeli Public Opinion Poll # 1

Results of

Israeli Public Opinion Poll

27-31 July 2000

								Total
1) The Palestinian and Israeli leaders failed to reach a peace agreement at Camp David. In general, given what you know from the media, what is your opinion on the positions presented by Prime Minister Barak in Camp David? Would you say the Barak's position was right, that Israel could compromise more or that Israel made already too much of a compromise?
1) This is the right position								29.8
2) Israel could compromise more								13.6
3) Israel made too much of a compromise								56.5
								Total
2) Looking at the issue of JERUSALEM, the Israeli position on this issue was: Israeli sovereignty in Jerusalem which will also include "Maale Edomim" "Gush Etzion" and "Givat Zeev". The Capital of the Palestinian State, will be established in neighborhoods currently part of east Jerusalem and will be named El Kuds. Palestinians will have full sovereignty over some of these neighborhoods and wide authonomy in others. A special arrangement with the Palestinians will take place in the "Old City" under overall Israeli sovereignty. Palestinians will also be the guarantors in "Har Habait". Would you say that Israel's position on Jerusalem was right, that Israel could compromise more, or that Israel made already too much of a compromise?
1) This is the right position								27.9
2) Israel could compromise more								16.4
3) Israel made too much of a compromise								55.7
								Total
3) Looking at the issue of REFUGEES, the Israeli position on this issue was that Israel will acknowledge the "Suffering of the Refugees" but not moral or legal responsibility for the problem. In the coming years Israel will absorb every year several thousands of refugees, under a family reunion plan. The Palestinian State will absorb gradually hundred of thousands refugees with the finanancial aid of the international community. Would you say that Israel's position on refugees issue was right, that Israel could compromise more, or that Israel made already too much of a compromise?
1) This is the right position								23.9
2) Israel could compromise more								11.9
3) Israel made too much of a compromise								64.2
								Total
4) Looking at the issue of THE PALESTINIAN STATE AND BORDERS, the Israeli position on this issue was that a Palestinian state will be established and will be recognized by Israel. Israel will return about 90% of the territories including parts of the Jordan Valley. Major blocks of settlements will be annexed to Israel. Would you say that Israel's position on the Palestinian state and borders was right, that Israel could compromise more or that Israel made already too much of a compromise?
1) This is the right position								30.4
2) Israel could compromise more								12.4
3) Israel made too much of a compromise								57.2
								Total
5) Looking at the issue of SETTLEMENTS, the Israeli position on this issue was that major settlement blocks in "Ariel" "Efrat", "Gush Etzion" "Maale Edomin" and "Givat Zeev" where most settlers live, will be annexed to Israel. The rest of the settlements will remain under Palestinian sovereignty. Would you say that Israel's position on the settlements issue was right, that Israel could compromise more or that Israel made already too much of a compromise?
1) This is the right position								32.9
2) Israel could compromise more								15.6
3) Israel made too much of a compromise								51.5
								Total
6) Looking at the issue of SECURITY ARRANGEMENTS, the Israeli position on this issue was that the Palestinian State will not acquire an airforce or heavy weapon systems. Israel will be free to use the Palestinian air zone and will keep reconnaissance posts on the mountains. The Jordan Valley will be returned to the Palestinians but Israel will keep the right to deploy the army in case of a threat from the east. Would you say that Israel can compromise more on this issue of security, Israel made already too much of a compromise, or that this position is just right?
1) This is the right position								50.7
2) Israel could compromise more								11.6
3) Israel made too much of a compromise								37.7
								Total
7. In your opinion what will happen now, after the failure of the "Camp David" talks?
1) Talks will resume soon enough and no violence will erupt								52.5
2) Dispersed acts of violence will take place before the resumption of the talks								30.5
3) Confrontations and Intifada will erupt in the West Bank and Gaza and the parties will not return to the negotiations								17.0
								Total
8. And in the long run how do you see the prospects for a Palestinian Israeli agreement
1) In the long run, an agreement quite similar to the Israeli position presented by Barak in the Camp David talks will be reached.								18.3
2) A compromise between the Palestinian and Israeli position will be reached								30.8
3) An agreement more favorable to the Palestinians will be reached than the one discussed now								18.9
4) Don't know								0.0
5) An agreement more favorable to the Israel will be reached than the one discussed now								10.6
5) The failure in Camp David is the end of the peace process and there is no chance to reach an agreement in the years to come								21.4
								Total
9. If an agreement is reached and a Palestinian state is established and recognized by Israel, would you support or oppose the efforts to bring to a full reconciliation between Israel and the Palestinian state?
1) Strongly support								31.8
2) Support								47.0
3) Oppose								12.1
4) Strongly oppose								9.1
								Total
10. If an agreement is reached, and a Palestinian State is established and recognized by Israel: how soon do you think will a full reconciliation between the two peoples be achieved?
1) A full reconciliation is not possible ever								26.2
2) Only in many generations to come								23.3
3) Only in the next generation								20.7
4) Only in the next decade								14.0
5) In the next few years								15.7
								Total
11. And what in your opinion do most Palestinians think? How soon, do they believe a full reconciliation between the two peoples can be achieved?
1) A full reconciliation is not possible ever								47.9
2) Only in many generations to come								19.5
3) Only in the next generation								13.1
4) Only in the next decade								6.3
5) In the next few years								13.1
								Total
12. The following are steps that may be taken in order to enhance normalization between the State of Israel and a Palestinian State. For each of the suggested steps please tell me whether you support or oppose it:
12-1 Open borders between Israel and the Palestinian state to free movement of people and goods
1) Strongly Support								16.4
2) Support								38.3
3) Oppose								30.6
4) Strongly Oppose								14.7
								Total
12-2 Create joint economic institutions and ventures
1) Strongly Support								23.6
2) Support								54.2
3) Oppose								15.6
4) Strongly Oppose								6.6
								Total
12-3 Create joint political institutions designed eventually to lead to a confederate system
1) Strongly Support								10.2
2) Support								32.5
3) Oppose								40.0
4) Strongly Oppose								17.3
								Total
12-4 Take legal measures against those inciting against Palestinians
1) Strongly Support								16.3
2) Support								42.6
3) Oppose								35.2
4) Strongly Oppose								5.9
								Total
12-5 Adopt school curriculum that recognizes the Palestinian state and gives up the aspiration to get back parts of the "homeland" which are in the Palestinian state.
1) Strongly Support								13.6
2) Support								38.5
3) Oppose								34.3
4) Strongly Oppose								13.6
								Total
12-6 To recognize officially Israel's violent acts against Palestinians throughout the conflict
1) Strongly Support								9.5
2) Support								27.3
3) Oppose								45.1
4) Strongly Oppose								18.0
								Total
12-7 Teach in schools Israel's role in the outbreak and the continuatioof the conflict.
1) Strongly Support								12.7
2) Support								48.3
3) Oppose								29.8
4) Strongly Oppose								9.2
								Total
13. And on a personal level, would you under conditions of peace, invite a Palestinian colleague to visit you in your home?
1) Definitely yes								36.2
2) Yes								36.2
3) No								14.4
4) Definitely no								13.2
								Total
14. And would you, under conditions of peace, visit a Palestinian colleague in his home?
1) Definitely yes								34.1
2) Yes								31.2
3) No								21.0
4) Definitely no								13.7
								Total
15. In your opinion, is lasting peace possible between Israelis and Palestinians
1) Definitely yes								19.0
2) Yes								43.1
3) No								24.0
4) Definitely no								13.9
								Total
16. And what about the majority of the Palestinian? do they, in your opinion, believe that lasting peace is possible between Israelis and Palestinians?
1) Definitely yes								9.7
2) Yes								30.5
3) No								40.0
4) Definitely no								19.8
								Total
17. How do you evaluate the status of democracy in the Palestinian authority?
1) Very good								0.4
2) Good								5.3
3) Fair								25.1
4) Bad								28.5
5) Very bad								40.7
								Total
18. And how do you see the status of democracy in a Palestinian state in the next ten years?
1) Very good								2.1
2) Good								24.3
3) Fair								29.1
4) Bad								19.7
5) Very bad								24.9

19. I will read you now a list of goals which are in the Israeli national interest. Of these interests, what in your opinion is the most important interest?
	1^st	2^nd		3^rd		4^th				5^th
1) Security	47.3	31.1		11.4		6.5				3.4
2) Economic prosperity	7.6	26.6		33.2		20.3				12.5
3) Democracy	6.2	12.7		22.2		32.3				25.5
4) Unity of the people	15.0	17.2		22.0		24.7				22.0
5) Peace	23.9	12.5		11.2		16.2				36.6

20. And how in your opinion do most Palestinians define their most important national interest out of the following interests?
	1^st		2^nd		3^rd		4^th		5^th
1) A secure and independent state	75.9		6.9		1.0		4.9		11.2
2) Economic prosperity	12.0		33.3		6.0		6.2		42.4
3) Democracy	5.0		42.2		19.4		14.4		19.0
4) Unity of the Palestinian people	4.4		12.4		39.7		28.9		14.6
5) Peace with Israel	2.5		5.1		34.0		44.9		13.5
								Total
21. How do you see relations between Palestinians and Israelis five to ten years from now?
1) As they are now								26.7
2) More peace and cooperation								49.1
3) Less peace and cooperation								9.1
4) Conflict and violence								10.1
5) Other (Specify ___)								5.0
								Total
22. If no agreement is reached in the next months and violent Israeli-Palestinian confrontations erupt in the West Bank and Gaza, do you believe such confrontations would allow Israel to achieve greater political gains in a way that could not be achieved in Camp-David?
1) Definitely yes								10.4
2) Yes								25.7
3) No								42.3
4) Definitely no								21.7
								Total
23. And what about the Palestinians? Do you believe that such confrontations, if they do take place, would allow the Palestinians to achieve greater political gains in a way that could not be achieved in Camp-David?
1) Definitely yes								9.4
2) Yes								24.2
3) No								39.9
4) Definitely no								26.6
								Total
24. The Palestinian Authority announced its intention to declare a Palestinian state by September 13^th. What do you think will happen on this date if no agreement for a permanent settlement is reached by then
1) A Palestinian state will not be declared								60.6
2) A Palestinian State will be declared even if no agreement is reached								35.2
3) Other (Specify______)								4.2
								Total
25. In your opinion how should Israel respond if a Palestinian State is declared unilaterally before reaching an agreement with Israel?
1) Israel should invade the PA, occupy back all the West Bank and Gaza and annex them to Israel								13.2
2) Israel should annex all the territories that are still under its control and blockade the PA.								16.2
3) Israel should blockade the PA and act on the international arena to reverse the unilateral step								22.4
4) Israel should try to negotiate an agreement with the Palestinian State and recognize it only after such an agreement is reached								35.7
5) Israel should first recognize the new Palestinian State and then negotiate a final peace agreement with it.								12.5
6) Other (specify ____________)								0.0

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