PSR - Survey Research Unit: Public Opinion Poll # 8

Poll 4 English

 

Results of Poll # (8)

 

19-22 June 2003

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

01. Do you support or oppose the appointment of Abu Mazin as Prime Minister?

1) Strongly support

3.6

3.5

3.7

2) Support

48.1

51.6

42.1

3) Oppose

30.3

28.2

33.8

4) Strongly oppose

11.7

10.8

13.2

5) No opinion/ Don't know

6.4

5.9

7.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

02. What is your view of the new government formed by Abu Mazin. Do you, or do not you, for example, give it your vote of confidence?

1) Certainly yes

4.0

5.0

2.2

2) Yes

36.6

36.4

37.1

3) No

37.0

35.2

40.0

4) Certainly no

14.5

15.1

13.3

5) No opinion/ Don't know

8.0

8.2

7.5

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

03. Do you believe that Abu Mazin and his new government will, or will not, be able to do the following? (certainly yes; yes; certainly no; no; DK/NA

3-1 Carry out the political reforms you seek

1) Certainly yes

3.4

4.5

1.6

2) Yes

34.9

36.3

32.6

3) No

41.9

40.6

44.2

4) Certainly No

13.2

12.6

14.3

5) No opinion/ Don't know

6.5

6.0

7.3

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

3-2 Fight corruption

1) Certainly yes

3.5

4.2

2.4

2) Yes

37.2

40.1

32.1

3) No

41.5

38.4

46.7

4) Certainly No

12.3

12.2

12.5

5) No opinion/ Don't know

5.6

5.1

6.3

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

3-3 Improve economic conditions

1) Certainly yes

4.6

4.9

4.1

2) Yes

51.6

50.5

53.5

3) No

31.7

32.4

30.5

4) Certainly No

7.7

8.0

7.2

5) No opinion/ Don't know

4.4

4.2

4.7

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

3-4 Renew negotiations with Israel

1) Certainly yes

13.2

11.8

15.4

2) Yes

55.8

56.7

54.1

3) No

22.4

21.9

23.2

4) Certainly No

4.4

4.6

4.0

5) No opinion/ Don't know

4.3

4.9

3.3

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

3-5 Control the security conditions and enforce a ceasefire on all factions

1) Certainly yes

4.1

4.5

3.3

2) Yes

30.8

30.6

31.0

3) No

44.3

44.0

44.9

4) Certainly No

16.2

15.7

16.9

5) No opinion/ Don't know

4.6

5.1

3.8

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

04. The US, Russia, the European Community and the UN, the so called "Quartet", have put forward a "roadmap" for the implementation of a final settlement within 3 years. The plan includes a demand for political reforms in the Palestinian authority including a constitution and election of a strong Prime Minister, stopping the incitement and violence on both sides under the Quartet's supervision, a demand for freeze on settlements and the establishment of a Palestinian State within provisional borders by the end of next year. The next phase will see negotiations on the final borders under the hospices of an international conference. Do you support or oppose this initiative?

1. Strongly support

5.9

6.1

5.6

2. Support

50.1

50.7

49.1

3. Oppose

27.2

26.7

28.1

4. Strongly oppose

13.8

13.1

15.0

5. Do not know/ no answer  (DK/NA)

2.9

3.3

2.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05. The Roadmap requires both Israel and the Palestinians to take several difficult steps on the way to a settlement. Assuming that Israel is fulfilling its part in the Roadmap promptly, do you agree or disagree to each of the following Palestinian steps:

05-1 Ending incitement against Israel by all official Palestinian institutions

1) Strongly agree

4.8

5.0

4.6

2) Agree

51.5

53.3

48.5

3) Disagree

33.8

31.5

37.7

4) Strongly disagree

7.5

7.6

7.3

5) DK/NA

2.4

2.6

1.9

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05-2 Declare an unequivocal end to violence and terrorism, and undertake efforts to arrest disrupt and restrain individuals and groups conducting and planning violent attacks on Israelis anywhere.

1) Strongly agree

2.5

3.0

1.7

2) Agree

33.9

35.5

31.1

3) Disagree

43.4

42.7

44.7

4) Strongly disagree

17.5

15.7

20.5

5) DK/NA

2.7

3.1

2.1

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05-3 Consolidation of all Palestinian organizations into three services reporting to an empowered interior minister

1) Strongly agree

9.9

10.6

8.8

2) Agree

60.1

60.3

59.9

3) Disagree

19.0

17.9

21.0

4) Strongly disagree

3.2

2.6

4.4

5) DK/NA

7.7

8.7

6.0

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05-4 Cutting off funding and all other forms of support for groups supporting and engaging in violence and terror

1) Strongly agree

2.3

2.3

2.2

2) Agree

23.1

25.1

19.6

3) Disagree

51.4

52.2

50.0

4) Strongly disagree

19.1

15.4

25.5

5) DK/NA

4.1

4.9

2.8

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05-5 Establishment of an independent Palestinian State with provisional borders before settling the refugees and Jerusalem issues.

1) Strongly agree

2.1

2.0

2.4

2) Agree

27.6

28.6

25.9

3) Disagree

47.0

46.9

47.1

4) Strongly disagree

21.8

20.6

23.9

5) DK/NA

1.5

2.0

0.7

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05-6 Arab states restore pre-Intifada links with Israel (trade offices, etc.)

1) Strongly agree

2.4

2.4

2.3

2) Agree

39.0

40.4

36.6

3) Disagree

42.1

42.0

42.2

4) Strongly disagree

13.2

11.0

16.9

5) DK/NA

3.4

4.2

2.0

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05-7 The issues of the permanent status solution, including borders, Jerusalem, refugees, settlements, are left to negotiations between the parties under the auspices of an international conference to be convened in 2004.

1) Strongly agree

3.3

2.8

4.2

2) Agree

50.3

49.5

51.5

3) Disagree

30.5

31.3

29.0

4) Strongly disagree

12.4

12.4

12.4

5) DK/NA

3.6

3.9

3.0

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

06. In your opinion will Abu Mazin stand by or will not stand by the Palestinian Authority's commitments as specified in the Roadmap

1. Definitely will stand by

12.0

14.0

8.5

2. Think will stand by

44.7

46.7

41.3

3. Think will not stand by

25.1

23.9

27.2

4. Definitely will not stand by

11.3

8.2

16.5

5. DK/NA

6.9

7.1

6.5

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

07. Can Abu Mazin overcome the strong opposition of the Hamas and other religious and national factions to the implementation of Roadmap?

1. Definitely will overcome

5.5

5.7

5.2

2. Think will overcome

28.9

30.8

25.6

3. Think will not overcome

34.1

35.5

31.7

4. Definitely will not overcome

26.5

22.5

33.3

5. DK/NA

4.9

5.4

4.1

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

08. In your opinion will Sharon stand by or will not stand by Israel's commitments as specified in the Roadmap?    

1. Definitely will stand by

3.6

4.5

1.9

2. Think will stand by

11.1

13.4

7.1

3. Think will not stand by

28.9

32.6

22.6

4. Definitely will not stand by

53.7

46.4

66.5

5. DK/NA

2.7

3.1

1.9

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

09. Can Sharon overcome the strong opposition of the settlers and the extreme right to the implementation of the Roadmap?   

1. Definitely will overcome

8.8

10.6

5.8

2. Think will overcome

21.0

23.4

17.0

3. Think will not overcome

26.3

28.9

21.8

4. Definitely will overcome

38.9

31.3

52.0

5. DK/NA

5.0

5.9

3.3

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

10. What do you expect to happen now after Israel and the Palestinians have accepted the Quartet's Roadmap and after the Aqaba declarations of Prime ministers Abu Mazin and Sharon and President Bush and after the Palestinian side declared its readiness to assume security responsibility for, and to enforce a ceasefire in, areas from which the Israeli army withdraws?

1. Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop

16.7

17.9

14.8

2. Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue

55.8

54.7

57.6

3. Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to                            negotiations

23.9

23.3

24.9

4. DK/NA

3.6

4.2

2.7

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

11. In your opinion is the US president George Bush determined to move the peace process forward towards the implementation of the roadmap?

1) Certainly determined;

8.5

10.5

5.0

2) Determined;

39.5

40.4

38.1

3) Not determined,

33.4

31.1

37.4

4) Certainly not determined

15.1

13.9

17.1

5) DK/NA

3.5

4.2

2.4

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

12. Do you believe that the Roadmap will eventually result or will not result in a political settlement between Israel and the Palestinians?        

1. Definitely will result in a settlement

6.3

7.7

3.9

2. Think will result in a settlement

33.5

36.6

28.2

3. Think will not result in a settlement

32.1

33.5

29.7

4. Definitely will not result in a settlement

23.0

17.7

32.1

5. DK/NA

5.2

4.5

6.2

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

13. In your opinion will democratic reforms called for by the Roadmap facilitate or inhibit the peace process with Israel?

1. Definitely will facilitate

8.7

9.3

7.7

2. Think will facilitate

39.2

40.6

36.8

3. Not facilitate, Not inhibit

23.1

21.4

26.2

4. Think will inhibit

14.8

14.5

15.4

5. Definitely will inhibit

6.2

6.0

6.6

6. DK/NA

7.9

8.2

7.4

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

14. There is a proposal that after the establishment of an independent Palestinian state and the settlement of all issues in dispute, including the refugees and Jerusalem issues, there will be a mutual recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the Palestinian people. Do you agree or disagree to this proposal.

1. Definitely agree

8.6

7.8

10.0

2. Agree

43.2

42.9

43.7

3. Disagree

27.0

29.0

23.7

4. Definitely disagree

19.0

17.8

21.1

5. DK/NA

2.1

2.5

1.5

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip%

15. And what is the Palestinian majority opinion on this issue? Do most Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza support or do not support the recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the Palestinian people at the end of the peace process?

1. Majority supports

39.9

39.0

41.6

2. Majority opposes

53.1

53.7

52.1

3. DK/NA

7.0

7.3

6.3

 

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