PSR - Survey Research Unit: Public Opinion Poll # 12 Survey Research Unit - Poll No. 12 continued
 
Results of Poll # (12)

 

24-27 June 2004

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

00) From among the following satellite news channels, which one was the one you watched most during the last two months?

1) Al Arabiyyah

10.2

10.8

9.1

2) Al Jazeerah

58.1

52.9

67.0

3) Al Hurrah

1.1

1.7

0.2

4) Al Manar

12.0

13.8

8.9

5) ANN

0.5

0.8

0.0

6) Do not watch tv

5.3

4.8

6.2

7) Other (specify ----- )

5.1

6.6

2.5

8) Have no dish

7.4

8.4

5.8

9) DK/NA

0.3

0.2

0.4

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

01) The PA has decided to hold local elections wherever possible while postponing it in areas where it would not be possible. What do you think? Do you?

1) Support holding local elections in towns and cities where it would be possible

45.1

48.9

38.6

2) Oppose holding local elections in towns and cities where possible and demand

49.4

44.8

57.3

3) DK/NA

5.5

6.3

4.1

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

02) If local elections are to take place at this time, would they be fair or unfair in your views?

1) Will probably be fair

38.4

40.7

34.4

2) Will probably be unfair

51.9

49.8

55.5

3) DK/NA

9.7

9.5

10.1

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

03) If local elections were held and were fair, which candidates in your views are likely to win, those nominated by family regardless of their political affiliation or those nominated by Fateh and Hamas/Islamic Jihad or the independents?

1) Fateh candidate

33.9

33.9

33.8

2) Hamas/Islamic Jihad candidate

26.6

24.6

30.1

3) Neither, instead family candidate

9.3

10.7

7.0

4) Independent

17.5

18.2

16.3

5) Other (specify ----)

3.0

3.2

2.7

6) DK/NA

9.6

9.4

10.1

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

04) And what about you? Will you give your vote in the next local elections to candidates from Fateh, Hamas/Islamic Jihad, or independents? Or will you vote for your family candidate regardless of his or her political affiliation?

1) Fateh

26.4

28.3

23.1

2) Hamas/Islamic Jihad

28.3

26.3

31.8

3) Independent

17.0

16.5

17.7

4) Family

8.5

9.4

7.0

5) Other

7.9

8.3

7.2

6) I will not participate

7.4

7.3

7.6

6) DK/NA

4.5

4.0

5.6

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

05) With regard to the next local elections, people talk about the possible participation of refugee camps located within the municipal boundaries of cities and some propose the participation of these camps in the local elections of those cities. But some propose holding independent elections for those camps, while other oppose the participation of refugee camps in the local elections. What do you think? Do you

1)  Support the participation of the residents of refugee camps in the local elections for the cities where they are located

69.6

68.3

71.9

2)  Support holding independent elections for refugee camps to elect local councils to administer them

22.8

23.1

22.3

3)  Oppose the participation of refugee camps in local elections

4.7

6.0

2.5

4) Other

0.2

0.2

0.2

5) No Opinion /Don’t know

2.7

2.4

3.1

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

06) The PA has announced its intentions to hold local elections in the coming September. Do you think the PA is serious or not serious about holding these elections?

1) Serious

43.9

48.0

36.9

2) Not serious

43.8

40.8

48.9

3) DK/NA

12.3

11.1

14.2

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

07) The local election law stipulates the direct election of local council heads by the voters. A proposal has been submitted calling for amending the law so that the heads of the local councils can instead be elected by the elected local council members. Do you support or oppose this proposed amendment?

1) Strongly support

9.4

9.4

9.5

2) Support

21.2

22.3

19.2

3) Oppose

51.4

55.4

44.5

4) Strongly oppose

16.0

11.0

24.5

5) DK/NA

2.0

1.9

2.3

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

08) The PLC is currently debating revisions to the general political election law so that a women quota can be introduced. Tell us if you support or oppose this revision and if you support it tell us what percentage would you propose for women quota in the next PLC.

1) Support

75.3

74.1

77.3

2) Oppose (Move to Q09)

23.2

24.1

21.6

3) DK/NA (Move to Q09)

1.5

1.8

1.0

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

08-1) percentage ----------------

Median

30%

30%

30%

Mean

25%

25%

25%

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

09) Regarding the legislative and presidential elections, do you encourage or discourage Hamas participation in them if they take place in the near future?

1) Strongly encourage

48.5

42.3

59.1

2) Encourage

39.9

43.6

33.6

3) Discourage

4.9

6.0

3.1

4) Strongly discourage

2.7

2.9

2.3

5) DK/NA

4.0

5.2

1.9

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

10) If separate elections were to take place for the office of the president of the PA, you would vote for: (Open question) --------------------------

1) Yasser Arafat

54.0

54.0

55.0

2) Marwan Bargouthi

2.0

2.0

1.0

3) Mahmoud Zahhar

2.0

2.0

2.0

4) Other names (less than 2%)

15.0

16.0

14.0

5) DK/ NA decide later

27.0

26.0

28.0

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

11) If separate elections were to take place for the office of the vice president of the PA, you would vote for: (Open question) ---------------

1) Ahmad Quarai’

9.0

9.0

8.0

2) Marwan Bargouthi

8.0

10.0

3.0

3) Saeb Erikat

6.0

8.0

5.0

4) Mahmoud Abbas

3.0

3.0

3.0

5) Mohammad Dahlan

3.0

1.0

6.0

6) Mahmoud Zahhar

2.0

2.0

3.0

7) Haidar Abdul Shafi

2.0

2.0

1.0

8) Other names (less than 2%)

26.0

24.0

28.0

9) DK/ NA decide later

41.0

41.0

43.0

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

12) Recently, the Israeli Government has approved a modified version of Sharon's disengagement plan. According to this plan Israel will evacuate unilaterally and in stages, all settlements in the Gaza strip and a four settlements in the West Bank.

In addition Israel will remain in control of a border strip on the Rafah-Egypt border and on the border crossing, and will continue to block sea and air access to the Gaza strip. Do you welcome or do not welcome this decision?

1) Definitely welcome

5.6

6.2

4.5

2) Welcome

28.5

31.1

24.0

3) Do not welcome

35.7

38.8

30.4

4) Definitely do not welcome

28.9

22.6

39.7

5) DK/NA

1.3

1.2

1.4

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

13) Would you support or oppose armed attacks against Israeli targets from the Gaza Strip after the implementation of this disengagement plan which has been approved by the Israeli government?

1) Strongly support

18.0

12.8

26.8

2) Support

37.2

40.4

31.8

3) Oppose

37.0

39.3

33.0

4) Strongly oppose

3.8

2.9

5.4

5) DK/NA

4.0

4.6

3.1

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

14) And if the Israeli government evacuates the Gaza settlements and withdraws completely from the Gaza Strip, including the border strip with Egypt and the international border crossing in Rafah, and if it lifts the air and see blockade so that the airport and sea port would function again, would you in this case support or oppose armed attacks against Israeli targets from the Gaza Strip?

1) Strongly support

10.8

8.7

14.2

2) Support

26.3

28.7

22.1

3) Oppose

50.2

52.0

47.2

4) Strongly oppose

9.1

6.6

13.4

5) DK/NA

3.6

4.0

3.1

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

15) According to the modified disengagement plan, the actual evacuation of settlements is pending upon additional government decisions and it is said to be carried out by the end of 2005. In your opinion, will the modified disengagement plan eventually be implemented or not

1) Definitely yes

3.1

3.4

2.7

2) Yes

21.0

23.7

16.3

3) No

43.2

44.7

40.6

4) Definitely no

25.2

19.5

35.1

5) DK/NA

7.4

8.6

5.4

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

16) In recent weeks there is a sharp decrease in the level of violence exerted by both sides. In your opinion should Palestinians continue nevertheless the suicide bombings inside Israel if an opportunity arises?

1) Definitely yes

21.9

15.3

33.3

2) Yes

36.7

38.1

34.3

3) No

31.6

35.3

25.2

4) Definitely no

5.5

6.4

3.9

5) DK/NA

4.3

4.9

3.3

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

17) In the context of his disengagement plan, Sharon received a letter from President Bush declaring the US commitment to Israel's security and its existence as a Jewish state and the need to settle the Palestinian refugees in a future Palestinian state rather than Israel and the need to take demographic realities rather than the line of 1967 when setting the final borders. To what extent is this letter important in shaping a permanent agreement with the Israelis?

1) Very important

14.9

14.4

15.7

2) Important

35.2

37.8

30.8

3) Not important

31.3

31.1

31.8

4) Not important at all

13.4

11.8

16.1

5) DK/NA

5.2

5.0

5.6

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

18) In the context of the Israeli intentions to evacuate the Gaza settlements, the Egyptian government has proposed an initiative containing several elements such the unification of the Palestinian security services under the control of the cabinet, the appointment of an effective interior minister, and the deployment of Egyptian military advisers and security officials in the Gaza Strip to assist in the implementation of a mutual ceasefire plan. Tell us if you support or oppose each of these elements and if you support or oppose the whole plan as a package:

18-1) Unification of the Palestinian security services under the control of the cabinet

1) Strongly support

22.7

22.4

23.1

2) Support

58.5

58.6

58.1

3) Oppose

12.5

12.9

11.8

4) Strongly oppose

3.2

2.9

3.7

5) DK/NA

3.2

3.1

3.3

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

18-2) The appointment of an effective interior minister

1) Strongly support

23.2

21.9

25.4

2) Support

63.8

64.7

62.3

3) Oppose

8.1

8.3

7.8

4) Strongly oppose

2.2

2.3

2.1

5) DK/NA

2.7

2.8

2.5

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

18-3) Deployment of Egyptian military advisers and security officials in the Gaza Strip to assist in the implementation of a mutual ceasefire plan

1) Strongly support

10.3

10.6

9.9

2) Support

42.9

43.9

41.2

3) Oppose

31.7

31.9

31.3

4) Strongly oppose

11.3

9.4

14.6

5) DK/NA

3.8

4.3

2.9

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

18-4) The complete initiative

1) Strongly support

10.5

11.2

9.5

2) Support

53.4

52.4

55.3

3) Oppose

25.3

25.2

25.6

4) Strongly oppose

6.5

6.6

6.4

5) DK/NA

4.2

4.7

3.3

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

19) In the context of the Sharon disengagement plan, there is a talk about the possible deployment of an armed international or multilateral force in the Gaza Strip that would be responsible for security in the Rafah international border crossing and the Egyptian-Palestinian border.  Would you support or oppose such deployment?

1) Strongly support

10.2

8.3

13.4

2) Support

49.5

51.1

46.7

3) Oppose

29.5

32.1

25.0

4) Strongly oppose

9.4

7.5

12.8

5) DK/NA

1.4

1.1

2.1

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

20) In the context of the Sharon disengagement plan and the evacuation of the Gaza settlements, there is a talk about destroying homes in these settlements while others see the necessity of keeping them intact for the use of the Palestinians. Which one of the two options do you prefer?

1) I prefer destroying homes in Gaza settlements

47.9

42.3

57.6

2) I prefer keeping them intact

48.7

53.2

40.9

3) Other (specify ----- )

1.1

1.4

0.4

4) DK/NA

2.4

3.1

1.0

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

21) If you support keeping the settlements intact, would you in this case support or oppose the deployment of an armed international force in these settlements to take custody of them and maintain control over them until an Israeli-Palestinian agreement on their future is reached?

1) Strongly support

10.7

9.9

12.4

2) Support

50.3

53.5

42.7

3) Oppose

28.4

28.7

27.6

4) Strongly oppose

7.9

5.1

14.7

5) DK/NA

2.8

2.8

2.7

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

22) In the context of the Sharon disengagement plan, there is a talk about an international or multilateral presence in the Gaza Strip for the purpose of rebuilding the PA institutions, ministries, and security services. Do you support or oppose this presence?

1) I support this presence to rebuild the civil and security institutions

58.5

56.4

62.2

2) I support this presence to rebuild the civil institutions only

11.7

12.1

11.0

3) I support this presence to rebuild the security services only

5.2

6.0

3.9

4) I oppose this presence

21.5

21.8

21.1

5) No Opinion/ Don’t Know

3.0

3.7

1.9

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

23) In the same context, there is a talk about an international or multilateral presence aiming at rebuilding the Palestinian economy and infrastructure. Do you support or oppose this presence?

1) Strongly support

24.2

19.0

33.2

2) Support

54.1

57.6

48.0

3) Oppose

13.2

14.9

10.3

4) Strongly oppose

7.0

6.9

7.2

5) DK/NA

1.4

1.6

1.2

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

24) After Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip and while awaiting general elections in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, there is a talk about Hamas participation in the administration of the Strip. Do you support or oppose this participation?

1) Strongly support

39.6

33.7

49.7

2) Support

50.1

54.1

43.3

3) Oppose

5.5

6.1

4.3

4) Strongly oppose

2.1

2.3

1.6

5) DK/NA

2.8

3.8

1.0

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

25) If you support Hamas participation in the administration of the Gaza Strip, how much should its share in decision making be? For example, should it 10% or 90% or something between the two? (Give a percentage between 10 and 90)

The percentage should be ---------------- 

Median

50%

50%

50%

Mean

45%

45%

46%

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

26) When Israel withdraws from the Gaza Strip, are you worried about internal Palestinian infighting in the Strip?

1) Very worried

17.7

14.0

23.9

2) Worried

41.7

45.2

35.7

3) Not worried

30.9

33.7

26.0

4) Not worried at all

8.0

5.3

12.8

5) DK/NA

1.7

1.8

1.6

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

27) How would you evaluate the capacity of the PA to control matters in the Gaza strip after Israeli withdrawal from it?

1) High capacity

29.7

29.0

31.0

2) Medium capacity

41.8

40.4

44.2

3) Low capacity

14.6

15.8

12.4

4) No capacity at all

10.1

10.2

9.9

5) DK/NA

3.9

4.7

2.5

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

28) Who in your opinion who will assume control in the Gaza strip after the Israeli withdrawal from it?

1) The PA

59.2

58.7

60.2

2) Armed groups and political factions

25.5

27.5

22.1

3) Other

4.1

2.6

6.6

4) No one

4.1

4.1

4.1

5) DK/NA

7.0

7.1

7.0

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

29) What do you expect to happen in the Gaza strip after the Israeli withdrawal from it?

1) Life will fully resume in an orderly manner

31.1

32.5

28.9

2) Life will resume but there will be some disorder

55.4

53.8

58.1

3) Anarchy and chaos will prevail

11.2

11.5

10.7

4) DK/NA

2.2

2.2

2.3

 

Total%

West  Bank%

Gaza Strip%

30) Who came out the winner so far in the ongoing armed conflict that has started in September 2000 between Israel and the Palestinians?

1) Israel

16.0

18.5

11.8

2) the Palestinians

39.6

31.5

53.6

3) Both

4.6

5.3

3.3

4) Neither

37.2

41.6

29.7

5) DK/NA

2.6

3.1

1.6

 

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