PSR - Survey Research Unit: Public Opinion Poll # 13 Results of Poll # (13)
Results of Poll # (13)

 

23-26 September 2004

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

01) The Palestinian singer Ammar Hasan has become famous due to his participation in the TV show “Super Star” which aired weekly on al Mostaqbal satellite channel. Tell us how did you follow up the performance of this singer?

1) By watching the program

42.3

46.3

35.7

2) By voting for him

2.2

3.0

0.8

3) By watching and voting

8.3

10.4

4.7

4) Did not watch or vote

47.2

40.2

58.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

02) Have you registered to vote in your area of residence?

1) Yes

39.2

41.4

35.6

2) No

60.8

58.6

64.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

03) Do you plan to register?

1) Certainly yes

23.4

17.9

31.8

2) Yes

37.1

41.3

30.9

3) No

29.4

32.7

24.4

4) Certainly no

5.4

3.5

8.3

5) DK/NA

4.7

4.7

4.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

04) Do you have confidence in the Palestinian Central Elections Commission?

1) Certainly yes

18.7

18.3

19.4

2) Yes

40.0

39.1

41.4

3) No

18.3

18.3

18.2

4) Certainly no

8.3

7.3

10.1

5) Did not hear about it

10.4

12.5

6.9

6) DK/NA

4.2

4.4

4.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

05) If national legislative and presidential elections took place in the near future, would you participate in it?

1) Certainly yes

26.9

22.0

35.2

2) Yes

45.2

46.2

43.4

3) No

20.2

24.2

13.7

4) Certainly no

4.4

4.0

5.1

5) DK/NA

3.3

3.6

2.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

06) Do you believe the Palestinian Authority is serious and truthful about holding national legislative and presidential elections in the near term?

1) Certainly yes

12.2

12.2

12.3

2) Yes

43.5

45.9

39.4

3) No

28.4

27.9

29.1

4) Certainly no

5.2

3.9

7.3

5) DK/NA

10.8

10.1

11.9

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

07) Are you going to participate in the elections for the local municipal and village councils?

1) Certainly yes

25.2

24.1

27.1

2) Yes

47.5

49.4

44.4

3) No

20.7

21.4

19.6

4) Certainly no

4.3

2.9

6.5

5) DK/NA

2.3

2.2

2.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

08) If local elections were held and were fair, which candidates in your view are likely to win, those nominated by family regardless of their political affiliation or those nominated by Fateh and Hamas/Islamic Jihad or the independents?

1) Fateh candidate

24.8

26.6

21.7

2) Hamas/Islamic Jihad candidate

26.7

19.1

39.4

3) Neither, instead family candidate

13.4

17.6

6.5

4) Independent

15.7

16.3

14.6

5) Other (specify ----)

4.0

4.3

3.7

6) No opinion /Don’t know

15.4

16.1

14.2

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

09) And what about you? Will you give your vote in the next local elections to candidates from Fateh, Hamas/Islamic Jihad, or independents? Or will you vote for your family candidate regardless of his or her political affiliation?

1) Fateh

21.0

22.7

18.2

2) Hamas/Islamic Jihad

22.2

17.5

29.9

3) Independent

15.6

16.5

13.9

4) Family

13.9

16.4

9.7

5) Other

8.7

8.2

9.7

6) Will not participate

13.4

14.2

12.1

7) No Opinion /Don’t know

5.2

4.4

6.5

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

10) In the context of the Israeli intentions to evacuate the Gaza settlements, the Egyptian government has proposed an initiative containing several elements such as the unification of the Palestinian security services under the control of the cabinet, the appointment of an effective interior minister, and the deployment of Egyptian security officials in the Gaza Strip to help in training and in assisting in the implementation of a mutual ceasefire plan. Tell us if you support or oppose each of these elements and if you support or oppose the whole plan as a package:

10-1) Unification of the Palestinian security services under the control of the cabinet

1) Strongly support

17.6

19.2

14.9

2) Support

61.2

59.2

64.6

3) Oppose

14.8

14.8

14.7

4) Strongly oppose

2.7

2.7

2.8

5) DK/NA

3.6

4.1

2.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

10-2) The appointment of an effective interior minister

1) Strongly support

19.9

21.4

17.4

2) Support

65.3

62.1

70.5

3) Oppose

9.6

11.2

7.1

4) Strongly oppose

1.7

2.3

0.8

5) DK/NA

3.5

3.0

4.2

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

10-3) Deployment of Egyptian security officials to train and assist in the implementation of a mutual ceasefire plan

1) Strongly support

11.1

12.0

9.5

2) Support

45.7

45.8

45.7

3) Oppose

30.7

30.7

30.7

4) Strongly oppose

9.7

8.3

12.1

5) DK/NA

2.8

3.3

2.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

10-4) The complete initiative

1) Strongly support

10.6

12.2

8.1

2) Support

58.5

56.2

62.4

3) Oppose

23.3

23.4

23.2

4) Strongly oppose

3.6

3.6

3.6

5) DK/NA

3.9

4.6

2.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

11) Egypt is currently organizing meetings in Cairo and the Gaza Strip with groups and factions in an effort to set up a ceasefire. Do you support or oppose this Egyptian step?

1) Strongly support

15.0

12.3

19.6

2) Support

54.5

57.2

50.1

3) Oppose

22.5

22.6

22.4

4) Strongly oppose

6.6

6.2

7.3

5) DK/NA

1.4

1.8

0.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

12) If the Israeli government evacuates the Gaza settlements and withdraws completely from the Gaza Strip, including the border strip with Egypt and the international border crossing in Rafah, and if it lifts the air and sea blockade so that the airport and sea port would function again, would you in this case support or oppose armed attacks against Israeli targets from the Gaza Strip?

1) Strongly support

10.1

8.7

12.3

2) Support

31.6

33.3

28.9

3) Oppose

46.0

46.2

45.7

4) Strongly oppose

8.2

6.2

11.5

5) DK/NA

4.1

5.6

1.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

13) When Israel withdraws from the Gaza Strip, are you worried about internal Palestinian infighting in the Strip?

1) Very worried

20.5

16.7

26.9

2) Worried

43.4

48.2

35.6

3) Not worried

29.2

29.1

29.3

4) Not worried at all

4.7

4.2

5.5

5) DK/NA

2.1

1.7

2.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

14) How would you evaluate the capacity of the PA to control matters in the Gaza strip after Israeli withdrawal from it?

1) High capacity

24.5

23.9

25.5

2) Enough capacity

33.8

32.3

36.4

3) Low capacity

20.5

20.8

20.2

4) No capacity at all

16.3

18.1

13.3

5) DK/NA

4.9

5.0

4.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

15) Do you see Sharon's plan to evacuate the Israeli settlements from Gaza as a victory for the Palestinian armed resistance against Israel or don't you see it as a victory?

1) Definitely this is a victory

45.3

40.8

52.9

2) I think that this is a victory

28.7

30.3

25.9

3) I think this is not a victory

18.8

21.2

14.7

4) Definitely this is not a victory

5.0

5.0

5.1

5) DN/NA

2.2

2.7

1.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

16) And how do you think most Palestinians see Sharon's plan? Do most Palestinians see it or don't see it as a victory for their armed struggle?

1) Most Palestinians see it as a victory for their armed struggle

71.1

68.5

75.5

2) Most Palestinians don't see it as a victory for their armed struggle

18.5

20.4

15.4

3) DK/NA

10.3

11.1

9.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

17) Will you support or oppose armed attacks against Israeli targets from the Gaza Strip after Israel implements its disengagement plan which was approved by the Israeli government?

1) Will strongly support them

13.6

12.3

16.0

2) Will support them

34.6

35.0

34.1

3) Will oppose them

42.0

43.8

39.0

4) Will strongly oppose them

4.9

3.0

7.9

5) DK/NA

4.9

5.9

3.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

18) The Israeli government has recently announced its intention to build hundreds of housing units in the West Bank settlements despite its acceptance of the roadmap which stipulates the freezing of settlement activities. If you want to choose the way that is best able to stop this settlement expansion, what would you choose:

1) Going to the International Court of Justice in the Hague

10.3

10.7

9.5

2) Unarmed demonstrations

11.9

13.8

8.7

3) A ceasefire and a return to negotiations

26.6

30.5

20.2

4) Continuation of armed confrontations and bombing attacks inside Israel

38.8

31.5

50.9

5) Continuation of armed confrontations but without bombing attacks inside Israel

9.0

10.4

6.7

6) Others, specify -------

3.5

3.2

4.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

19) What do you expect to happen now after the Israeli government decision regarding Sharon’s plan for disengagement from the Gaza Strip and the acceptance of the Egyptian initiative by the Palestinian leadership?

1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop

17.1

16.5

18.2

2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue

39.4

37.0

43.4

3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to negotiations

36.7

40.0

31.3

4) DK/NA

6.8

6.6

7.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

20) With regard to the latest bombing attack in Beer Shiva in Israel early in this month which lead to the death of 16 Israelis, do you support or oppose this attack?

1) Strongly support

36.1

25.7

53.3

2) Support

41.3

45.6

34.1

3) Oppose

17.5

22.3

9.5

4) Strongly oppose

2.2

2.8

1.2

5) DK/NA

3.0

3.6

1.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

21) Current Prime Minister, Abu Ala’, promised that he would work during his tenure on achieving the following four objectives. Tell us, in your opinion, was he able or was not he able to achieve what he promised so far:

21-1) Eliminate internal anarchy and absence of security

1) Was able to a large extent

2.0

1.9

2.0

2) Was able somewhat

15.6

15.8

15.2

3) Was not able

46.2

49.1

41.4

4) Was not able at all

31.7

28.3

37.2

5) No opinion /Do not know

4.6

4.7

4.2

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

21-2) Prepare for elections in mid 2004

1) Was able to a large extent

5.3

6.2

3.8

2) Was able somewhat

45.6

46.0

44.8

3) Was not able

30.1

31.3

28.3

4) Was not able at all

10.0

9.1

11.5

5) No opinion /Do not know

9.0

7.4

11.5

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

21-3) Carry out wide ranging political reforms

1) Was able to a large extent

1.3

1.1

1.6

2) Was able somewhat

19.4

18.1

21.6

3) Was not able

46.5

50.7

39.4

4) Was not able at all

25.5

22.6

30.3

5) No opinion /Do not know

7.3

7.4

7.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

21-4) Return to the peace process with Israel

1) Was able to a large extent

1.7

1.6

1.8

2) Was able somewhat

13.3

12.5

14.5

3) Was not able

49.3

51.0

46.5

4) Was not able at all

29.3

27.9

31.7

5) No opinion /Do not know

6.4

6.9

5.5

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

22) Prime Minister Abu Ala submitted his resignation in July and then he withdrew it. In your opinion, should Abu Ala’ and his government or should not they resign?

1) They should resign

49.3

47.0

53.1

2) They should not resign

38.7

40.5

35.8

3) No opinion/do not know

12.0

12.5

11.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

23) Regarding the prevailing internal anarchy, some say the reason for it is a failure on the part of the security services and political leadership to carry out their responsibility to maintain law and order while others say the Israeli occupation is to blame for it. In your opinion, who is more responsible for the internal anarchy?

1) the failure of the security services and leadership

36.3

35.3

38.0

2) Israeli occupation

53.9

56.0

50.5

3) Others, specify-------  

8.2

7.1

10.1

4) No opinion/do not know

1.6

1.7

1.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

24) In your view, do the Palestinian security services have the capacity to enforce law and order in the areas of the PA in which you reside?

1) Certainly yes

12.9

9.9

18.1

2) Yes

44.3

47.9

38.3

3) No

33.9

33.9

33.9

4) Certainly no

6.7

5.8

8.1

5) DK/NA

2.1

2.4

1.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

25) And do these services do that or try to do that?

1) Certainly yes

7.1

6.6

7.9

2) Yes

59.7

62.0

55.8

3) No

27.6

25.7

30.7

4) Certainly no

3.6

3.3

4.2

5) DK/NA

2.1

2.4

1.4

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