Results of Poll # (14)
01-05 December 2004
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
01) Have you registered to vote in your area of residence? |
|||
|
1) Yes (go to Q03) |
74.4 |
73.3 |
76.2 |
|
2) No |
25.6 |
26.7 |
23.8 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
02) Presidential election will take place on January 9. Do you plan to register before this date? |
|||
|
1) Certainly yes |
15.4 |
13.0 |
20.7 |
|
2) Yes |
41.7 |
41.1 |
43.1 |
|
3) No |
28.5 |
33.2 |
18.1 |
|
4) Certainly no |
7.9 |
6.7 |
10.3 |
|
5) DK/NA |
6.5 |
5.9 |
7.8 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
03) Do you intend to participate in the presidential elections? |
|||
|
1) Certainly yes (go to q5) |
56.7 |
54.6 |
60.2 |
|
2) Yes (go to q5) |
25.1 |
25.9 |
23.8 |
|
3) No |
13.1 |
15.0 |
9.8 |
|
4) Certainly no |
2.8 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
|
5) Undecided |
2.3 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
04) If national legislative election were to take place at the same time as the presidential elections, would you in this case participate in it? |
|||
|
1) Certainly yes |
19.5 |
18.6 |
21.2 |
|
2) Yes |
34.1 |
32.6 |
37.2 |
|
3) No |
32.0 |
34.4 |
27.4 |
|
4) Certainly no |
10.4 |
9.8 |
11.5 |
|
5) Undecided |
4.0 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
05) If Palestinian opposition forces called for a boycott of the presidential elections, you would: |
|||
|
1) Certainly, you will boycott |
8.8 |
8.3 |
9.7 |
|
2) Think you will |
14.0 |
16.2 |
10.1 |
|
3) Think you will not boycott |
41.2 |
43.8 |
36.6 |
|
4) Certainly, you will not boycott |
27.1 |
21.9 |
36.0 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
9.0 |
9.8 |
7.5 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
06) Do
you believe the Palestinian Authority is serious and truthful about holding
national legislative elections in the near term? |
|||
|
1) Certainly yes |
24.0 |
22.1 |
27.1 |
|
2) Yes |
49.1 |
53.1 |
42.2 |
|
3) No |
16.5 |
16.1 |
17.0 |
|
4) Certainly no |
3.1 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
7.4 |
5.4 |
10.8 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
07) If local elections were held and were fair, which candidates in your views are likely to win, those nominated by family regardless of their political affiliation or those nominated by Fateh and Hamas/Islamic Jihad or the independents? |
|||
|
1) Fateh candidate |
42.0 |
44.0 |
38.6 |
|
2) Hamas/Islamic Jihad candidate |
19.7 |
15.2 |
27.6 |
|
3) Neither, instead family candidate |
10.9 |
13.6 |
6.2 |
|
4) Independent |
14.0 |
15.3 |
11.6 |
|
5) Other (specify ----) |
2.5 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
10.8 |
8.9 |
14.3 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
08) And what about you? Will you give your vote in the next local elections to candidates from Fateh, Hamas/Islamic Jihad, or independents? Or will you vote for your family candidate regardless of his or her political affiliation? |
|||
|
1) Fateh |
36.8 |
38.2 |
34.2 |
|
2) Hamas/Islamic Jihad |
20.3 |
16.3 |
27.2 |
|
3) Independent |
13.1 |
14.6 |
10.6 |
|
4) Family |
10.9 |
12.8 |
7.5 |
|
5) Other |
7.6 |
6.8 |
8.9 |
|
6) Will not participate |
5.4 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
6.0 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
09) The Palestinian Authority is currently conducting consultations with Palestinian factions to arrange for a ceasefire. Do you support or oppose such a ceasefire? |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
27.3 |
21.9 |
36.7 |
|
2) Support |
52.2 |
57.3 |
43.4 |
|
3) Oppose |
16.5 |
17.0 |
15.8 |
|
4) Strongly oppose |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
10) Would you support or oppose a call for an immediate return to the negotiation table? |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
23.5 |
19.0 |
31.3 |
|
2) Support |
56.6 |
62.4 |
46.5 |
|
3) Oppose |
15.4 |
14.8 |
16.4 |
|
4) Strongly Oppose |
2.7 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
1.8 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
11) In your opinion, is it possible to negotiate these days a compromise settlement with the current Israeli leadership? |
|||
|
1) Definitely possible |
9.5 |
8.7 |
10.8 |
|
2) Think it’s possible |
42.3 |
43.8 |
39.7 |
|
3) Think it’s impossible |
33.6 |
34.1 |
32.6 |
|
4) Definitely impossible |
14.1 |
12.9 |
16.2 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
12) And
if a compromise settlement is negotiated with the Israeli leadership, do you
think the Israeli leaders are strong enough to convince the Israelis to
accept such a compromise settlement? |
|||
|
1) Definitely they are |
19.1 |
20.5 |
16.6 |
|
2) Think they are |
38.7 |
41.1 |
34.6 |
|
3) Think they are not |
26.8 |
25.3 |
29.5 |
|
4) Definitely they are not |
9.9 |
7.9 |
13.3 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.5 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
13) And
what about the Palestinian leaders? Are they strong enough to convince the
Palestinian people to accept a compromise settlement with |
|||
|
1) Definitely they are |
13.2 |
12.4 |
14.5 |
|
2) Think they are |
42.3 |
43.4 |
40.5 |
|
3) Think they are not |
28.5 |
30.6 |
24.7 |
|
4) Definitely they are not |
12.1 |
10.0 |
15.8 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
3.9 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
14) The |
|||
|
1) Definitely support |
9.3 |
8.3 |
11.0 |
|
2) Support |
49.2 |
49.5 |
48.5 |
|
3) Oppose |
29.9 |
31.2 |
27.6 |
|
4) Definitely oppose |
7.6 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
4.1 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
15) And In your opinion can this plan still be implemented or cannot be implemented anymore? |
|||
|
1) Definitely can be implemented |
6.0 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
|
2) Think that can be implemented |
39.9 |
42.2 |
35.9 |
|
3) Think that it cannot be implemented |
36.0 |
36.2 |
35.7 |
|
4) Definitely cannot be implemented |
11.8 |
10.4 |
14.1 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
6.4 |
5.7 |
7.5 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
16) How
soon do you think will a political settlement between |
|||
|
1) A political settlement is not possible ever |
34.4 |
34.0 |
35.1 |
|
2) Only in many generations to come |
21.2 |
24.3 |
15.8 |
|
3) Only in the next generation |
9.8 |
9.9 |
9.5 |
|
4) Only in the next decade |
4.2 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
|
5) Only in the next few years |
22.6 |
20.2 |
27.2 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
7.8 |
7.4 |
8.5 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
17) If the Israeli government evacuates the Gaza settlements and withdraws completely from the Gaza Strip, including the border strip with Egypt and the international border crossing in Rafah, and if it lifts the air and see blockade so that the airport and sea port would function again, would you in this case support or oppose armed attacks against Israeli targets from the Gaza Strip? |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
7.7 |
7.9 |
7.3 |
|
2) Support |
30.0 |
33.7 |
23.7 |
|
3) Oppose |
48.6 |
47.2 |
51.0 |
|
4) Strongly oppose |
10.8 |
7.8 |
16.2 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
2.8 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
18) When
|
|||
|
1) Very worried |
15.7 |
11.0 |
23.9 |
|
2) Worried |
43.2 |
47.7 |
35.6 |
|
3) Not worried |
29.7 |
32.7 |
24.5 |
|
4) Not worried at all |
9.1 |
6.5 |
13.7 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
19) How
would you evaluate the capacity of the PA to control matters in the |
|||
|
1) High capacity |
29.4 |
26.6 |
34.2 |
|
2) Enough capacity |
41.6 |
41.0 |
42.7 |
|
3) Low capacity |
18.8 |
21.8 |
13.5 |
|
4) No capacity at all |
7.7 |
8.7 |
5.8 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
2.6 |
1.9 |
3.8 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
20) Do
you see |
|||
|
1) Definitely this is a victory |
40.4 |
35.3 |
49.4 |
|
2) I think that this is a victory |
34.9 |
39.0 |
27.8 |
|
3) I think this is not a victory |
17.2 |
19.6 |
13.1 |
|
4) Definitely this is not a victory |
5.8 |
4.7 |
7.7 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
1.7 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
21) And
how do you think most Palestinians see |
|||
|
1) Most Palestinians see it as a victory for their armed struggle |
78.0 |
76.7 |
80.3 |
|
2) Most Palestinians don't see it as a victory for their armed struggle |
16.3 |
17.8 |
13.7 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.7 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
22) What
do you expect to happen now after the death of Yasir Arafat and the
appointment of Mahmud Abbas (Abu Mazin) as head of the PLO, Ahmad Quari ( |
|||
|
1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop |
29.7 |
26.9 |
34.5 |
|
2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue |
53.0 |
54.4 |
50.7 |
|
3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to negotiations |
11.5 |
13.4 |
8.1 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.8 |
5.3 |
6.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
23) How
will President Arafat’s death affect the chances for reaching a political
settlement with |
|||
|
1) Certainly will increase the chances for a political settlement |
28.0 |
25.5 |
32.4 |
|
2) I think it will increase the chances for a political settlement |
25.0 |
27.5 |
20.7 |
|
3) It will have no impact on the chances for a political settlement |
18.3 |
18.5 |
17.8 |
|
4) I think it will decrease the chances for a political settlement |
16.6 |
17.7 |
14.7 |
|
5) Certainly it will decrease the chances for a political settlement |
6.4 |
6.8 |
5.6 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.7 |
3.9 |
8.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
24) The late President Yasir Arafat contributed more than any other Palestinian in shaping the situation of the Palestinians. Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with his contribution in the following area? |
|||
|
24-1) Protect Palestinian rights in negotiations with |
|||
|
1) Very satisfied |
29.7 |
29.3 |
30.4 |
|
2) Satisfied |
56.6 |
56.2 |
57.1 |
|
3) Unsatisfied |
9.9 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
|
4) not satisfied at all |
3.0 |
3.7 |
1.7 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
24-2) Promote the status of the Palestinian cause internationally7 |
|||
|
1) Very satisfied |
31.2 |
29.5 |
34.0 |
|
2) Satisfied |
56.9 |
57.5 |
55.7 |
|
3) Unsatisfied |
7.9 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
|
4) not satisfied at all |
2.6 |
3.5 |
1.0 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
24-3) Build a national authority with democratic governance |
|||
|
1) Very satisfied |
17.4 |
15.6 |
20.5 |
|
2) Satisfied |
49.7 |
50.4 |
48.7 |
|
3) Unsatisfied |
25.2 |
26.4 |
23.2 |
|
4) not satisfied at all |
5.8 |
6.2 |
5.2 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
1.8 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
24-4) Fight corruption in the PA |
|||
|
1) Very satisfied |
14.1 |
11.6 |
18.4 |
|
2) Satisfied |
36.9 |
38.3 |
34.6 |
|
3) Unsatisfied |
35.4 |
37.1 |
32.5 |
|
4) not satisfied at all |
11.3 |
10.3 |
13.0 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
2.3 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
24-5) End the Israeli occupation of the |
|||
|
1) Very satisfied |
13.7 |
10.5 |
19.3 |
|
2) Satisfied |
40.6 |
39.0 |
43.3 |
|
3) Unsatisfied |
31.0 |
35.2 |
23.8 |
|
4) not satisfied at all |
13.6 |
14.4 |
12.4 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
24-6) Build public institutions able to enforce law and order |
|||
|
1) Very satisfied |
14.3 |
11.4 |
19.5 |
|
2) Satisfied |
50.2 |
50.6 |
49.5 |
|
3) Unsatisfied |
25.7 |
28.9 |
20.1 |
|
4) not satisfied at all |
8.2 |
7.5 |
9.3 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
24-7) Provide basic services such as health and education |
|||
|
1) Very satisfied |
28.6 |
25.2 |
34.4 |
|
2) Satisfied |
57.1 |
59.1 |
53.6 |
|
3) Unsatisfied |
10.5 |
11.5 |
8.7 |
|
4) not satisfied at all |
3.0 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
25) In your view, did Arafat die of illness or poison? |
|||
|
Certainly died of illness |
7.0 |
8.6 |
4.1 |
|
Think he died of illness |
8.0 |
9.0 |
6.2 |
|
Think he died of poison |
41.2 |
43.3 |
37.7 |
|
Certainly died of poison |
31.2 |
28.7 |
35.4 |
|
Specify: ------------------ |
12.7 |
10.4 |
16.6 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
26) If you think he died of poison, who you think gave it to him? |
|||
|
1) |
64.0 |
60.5 |
69.4 |
|
2) Palestinians |
22.4 |
26.6 |
15.9 |
|
3) |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
4) U.S.A |
1.0 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
|
5) Others |
1.1 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
11.0 |
9.8 |
12.8 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
27) What do you expect to happen in the absence of Yasir Arafat? Would the Palestinians enter a state of internal infighting or would the next phase be one of internal unity and harmony? |
|||
|
1) A civil war will take place |
6.7 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
|
2) Some internal infighting will take place, but not a civil war |
37.9 |
37.7 |
38.2 |
|
3) There will be no internal infighting, but extreme divisions will remain |
22.4 |
25.4 |
17.2 |
|
4) There will be internal unity and harmony |
29.2 |
27.2 |
32.8 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
3.8 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
28) In your view, how would the absence of Arafat affect Fateh? Would the movement become stronger or weaker or will remain the same? |
|||
|
1) Will become weaker |
49.8 |
51.4 |
47.1 |
|
2) Will become stronger |
24.8 |
23.2 |
27.4 |
|
3) Will remain the same |
20.5 |
20.5 |
20.5 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
4.9 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
29) If it was up to you to choose the next head of Fateh, who would you choose from among the Fateh leaders you know? |
|||
|
01) Abdul Sattar Qasim |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
02) Ahmad Qurai |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
|
03) Farouq Qaddomi |
7.4 |
8.7 |
5.2 |
|
04) Haidar Abdul Shafi |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
05) Hani Hasan |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
06) Hasan Khreisheh |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
07) Mahmud Abbas |
25.6 |
22.4 |
31.1 |
|
8) Marwan Barghoti |
29.9 |
31.2 |
27.6 |
|
9) Mohammad Dahlan |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
|
10) Musata Barghouti |
1.3 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
|
11) Rouhi Fattouh |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
|
12) Saeb Erekat |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
|
13) Others |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
|
14) No Opinion /Don’t know |
30.6 |
30.3 |
31.1 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
30) To what extent are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the performance of the interim leadership, that replaced Arafat when he went for treatment, with regard to the matter of succession matter? |
|||
|
1) Very satisfied |
3.9 |
2.6 |
6.0 |
|
2) Satisfied |
42.4 |
42.2 |
42.7 |
|
3) Unsatisfied |
33.3 |
34.1 |
31.9 |
|
4) Very unsatisfied |
11.9 |
12.6 |
10.8 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
8.5 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
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