Results of Poll # (14)
01-05 December 2004
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
31) In your view, how will the
following issues be affected with Arafat gone? To the better or the worse or
remain the same? |
|||
|
31-1) Protect
Palestinian rights in negotiations with |
|||
|
1) Better |
23.5 |
19.7 |
30.2 |
|
2) The same |
36.8 |
37.5 |
35.4 |
|
3) Worse |
35.6 |
39.2 |
29.4 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
4.1 |
3.6 |
5.0 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
31-2) Promote
the status of the Palestinian cause internationally |
|||
|
1) Better |
25.9 |
22.1 |
32.5 |
|
2) The same |
37.5 |
39.2 |
34.6 |
|
3) Worse |
31.5 |
34.3 |
26.7 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.1 |
4.4 |
6.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
31-3) Build a
national authority with democratic governance |
|||
|
1) Better |
31.5 |
26.7 |
39.8 |
|
2) The same |
34.5 |
36.2 |
31.7 |
|
3) Worse |
27.9 |
31.3 |
21.9 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
6.1 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
31-4) Fight
corruption in the PA |
|||
|
1) Better |
31.7 |
25.3 |
42.9 |
|
2) The same |
28.5 |
30.1 |
25.7 |
|
3) Worse |
34.8 |
39.2 |
27.1 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.0 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
31-5) End the
Israeli occupation of the |
|||
|
1) Better |
32.1 |
22.7 |
48.4 |
|
2) The same |
29.6 |
32.4 |
24.8 |
|
3) Worse |
32.6 |
39.1 |
21.5 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.6 |
5.9 |
5.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
31-6) Build
public institutions able to enforce law and order |
|||
|
1) Better |
40.8 |
33.7 |
53.0 |
|
2) The same |
31.8 |
33.9 |
28.2 |
|
3) Worse |
22.3 |
27.5 |
13.5 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.1 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
31-7) Provide
basic services such as health and education |
|||
|
1) Better |
43.6 |
34.5 |
59.2 |
|
2) The same |
37.0 |
41.5 |
29.2 |
|
3) Worse |
15.3 |
19.7 |
7.7 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
4.2 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
32) Would you say that these days your
security and safety, and that of your family, is assured or not assured? |
|||
|
1) Completely assured |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
|
2) Assured |
22.1 |
19.7 |
26.1 |
|
3) Not assured |
49.2 |
52.0 |
44.4 |
|
4) Not assured at all |
26.4 |
26.2 |
26.8 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
33) There are internal and external
calls for wide and fundamental domestic reforms and changes in the
institutions and authorities of the Palestinian Authority. Do you support or
oppose these calls? |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
34.7 |
26.4 |
49.1 |
|
2) Support |
58.5 |
66.8 |
44.1 |
|
3) Oppose |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
|
4) Strongly oppose |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
|
5) No opinion/ do not know |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
34) In your opinion, can people in the
|
|||
|
1) yes |
62.4 |
59.4 |
67.4 |
|
2) No |
34.4 |
37.5 |
29.3 |
|
3) No Opinion /Don’t know |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
35) If you want to evaluate the status
of democracy and human rights in the Palestinian Authority, you would say it
is: |
|||
|
1) Very good |
3.8 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
|
2) Good |
25.9 |
25.7 |
26.3 |
|
3) Not good and not bad |
27.4 |
25.7 |
30.4 |
|
4) Bad |
21.7 |
22.1 |
21.1 |
|
5) Very bad |
18.8 |
20.5 |
15.9 |
|
6) DK/NA |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
36) Do you
think that there is corruption in PA institutions? |
|||
|
1) Yes |
86.6 |
87.8 |
84.7 |
|
2) No |
7.8 |
7.4 |
8.5 |
|
3) Don’t Know /No answer |
5.5 |
4.8 |
6.8 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
37) If yes, Will this corruption in PA
institutions increase, decrease or remain as it is in the future? |
|||
|
1) Will increase |
45.5 |
48.4 |
40.3 |
|
2) Will remain as it is |
14.9 |
16.9 |
11.2 |
|
3) will decrease |
31.3 |
26.7 |
39.6 |
|
4) No opinion /Don't know |
8.3 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
38) In general how would you assess
the condition of the Palestinian people these days? |
|||
|
1) Very good |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
|
2) Good |
5.9 |
4.8 |
7.7 |
|
3) So so |
19.2 |
18.0 |
21.3 |
|
4) Bad |
36.6 |
38.7 |
33.1 |
|
5) Very bad |
36.9 |
37.2 |
36.4 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
39) To what extent do Palestinians in
the West Bank and |
|||
|
1) Suffer very much |
71.7 |
68.7 |
76.8 |
|
2) Suffer much |
23.4 |
27.3 |
16.6 |
|
3) Suffer some |
4.8 |
3.7 |
6.6 |
|
4) Don’t suffer at all |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
5) DK/NA |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
39a) And you,
personally, to what extent do you suffer these days? |
|||
|
1) Suffer very much |
46.8 |
47.0 |
46.6 |
|
2) Suffer much |
22.5 |
23.4 |
20.9 |
|
3) Suffer some |
26.6 |
25.2 |
29.0 |
|
4) Don’t suffer at all |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
1.9 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
40) Concerning armed attacks against
Israeli soldiers in the |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
44.4 |
39.1 |
53.6 |
|
2) Support |
39.6 |
43.8 |
32.3 |
|
3) Oppose |
11.4 |
11.9 |
10.6 |
|
4) Strongly oppose |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
|
5) No opinion/ do not know |
2.7 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
41) Concerning armed attacks against
Israeli settlers in the |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
44.5 |
38.2 |
55.3 |
|
2) Support |
38.6 |
42.8 |
31.5 |
|
3) Oppose |
12.4 |
13.8 |
9.9 |
|
4) Strongly oppose |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
|
5) No opinion/ do not know |
2.8 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
42) Concerning
armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
22.5 |
17.6 |
30.8 |
|
2) Support |
26.9 |
27.5 |
25.9 |
|
3) Oppose |
40.9 |
44.2 |
35.2 |
|
4) Strongly oppose |
6.9 |
7.4 |
6.0 |
|
5) No opinion/ do not know |
2.8 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
43) If an agreement is reached to
cease violence by both sides, but armed attacks against Israelis continued,
do you approve or oppose, in this case, the Palestinian Authority taking
measures to prevent them? |
|||
|
1) Approve |
58.0 |
56.7 |
60.2 |
|
2) Oppose |
37.9 |
39.5 |
35.2 |
|
3) Don’t Know /No answer |
4.1 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
44) Do you believe that armed
confrontations so far have helped achieve Palestinian rights in a way that
negotiations could not? |
|||
|
1) Definitely yes |
23.4 |
20.1 |
29.0 |
|
2) Yes |
40.5 |
43.4 |
35.6 |
|
3) No |
28.0 |
29.3 |
25.9 |
|
4) Definitely no |
5.2 |
4.7 |
6.2 |
|
5) Don’t Know /No answer |
2.8 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
45) Who came out the winner so far in
the ongoing armed conflict that has started in September 2000 between |
|||
|
1) |
13.8 |
16.6 |
8.9 |
|
2) The Palestinians |
34.8 |
28.3 |
46.1 |
|
3) Both |
4.9 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
|
4) Neither |
43.8 |
47.5 |
37.3 |
|
4) No Opinion /Don’t know |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
46) And what do the majority of
Palestinians think on this issue? In their opinion, who came out the winner
in the armed conflict so far? |
|||
|
1)
Most Palestinians think |
15.7 |
18.8 |
10.2 |
|
2) Most Palestinians think they are the winners |
42.9 |
36.1 |
54.8 |
|
3) Most Palestinians think both sides are winners |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
|
4) Most Palestinians think neither side is a winner |
32.7 |
36.9 |
25.3 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
5.6 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
47) And what do the majority of
Israelis think on this issue? In their opinion, who came out the winner in
the armed conflict so far? |
|||
|
1) Most Israelis think the Palestinians are the winners |
59.3 |
60.9 |
56.6 |
|
2) Most Israelis think |
13.3 |
10.9 |
17.4 |
|
3) Most Israelis think both sides are winners |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
|
4) Most Israelis think neither side is a winner |
19.8 |
20.6 |
18.3 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
6.1 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
48)
Would you support or oppose a call for a mutual cease fire between
Palestinians and Israelis? |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
25.7 |
21.1 |
33.5 |
|
2) Support |
56.5 |
60.3 |
50.1 |
|
3) Oppose |
14.3 |
14.4 |
14.1 |
|
4) Strongly Oppose |
2.3 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
|
5) DK/NA |
1.2 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
49) After reaching a peace agreement
between the Palestinian people and |
|||
|
1) Strongly support |
17.9 |
15.1 |
22.6 |
|
2) Support |
63.3 |
65.2 |
60.0 |
|
3) Oppose |
14.7 |
15.3 |
13.7 |
|
4) Strongly oppose |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
0.8 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
50) After reaching a peace agreement
between the Palestinian people and |
|||
|
1) Reconciliation is not possible ever |
34.1 |
32.9 |
36.2 |
|
2) Only in many generations to come |
20.1 |
20.1 |
20.1 |
|
3) Only in the next generation |
14.0 |
15.3 |
11.6 |
|
4) Only in the next decade |
7.7 |
7.0 |
9.1 |
|
5) On the next few years |
16.9 |
17.5 |
15.7 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
51) The American people have reelected
president Bush for another four years. How will this vote affect in your view
the chances for a political settlement with |
|||
|
1) Certainly will increase the chances
for a political settlement with |
16.9 |
16.3 |
18.0 |
|
2) I think it will increase the chances
for a political settlement with |
14.5 |
16.6 |
11.0 |
|
3) It will have no impact on the
political settlement with |
29.6 |
28.8 |
31.1 |
|
4) I think it will decrease the chances
for a political settlement with |
20.7 |
21.8 |
18.8 |
|
5) Certainly it will decrease the chances
for a political settlement with |
13.4 |
12.0 |
15.9 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
4.7 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
52) In your view, would the second
Bush administration be more or less supportive of |
|||
|
1) Certainly it will be more supportive |
61.4 |
58.2 |
66.9 |
|
2) Think it will be more supportive |
14.9 |
18.8 |
8.3 |
|
3) Think it will be as it was in the first Bush administration |
12.2 |
13.6 |
9.9 |
|
4) Think it will be less supportive |
7.8 |
6.5 |
10.1 |
|
5) Certainly it will be less supportive |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
|
6) No Opinion /Don’t know |
2.4 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
54) Who among those candidates are
most able to carry out the following tasks: |
|||
|
54-1) Rreach a peace agreement with |
|||
|
1) Bassam Salhi |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
2) Abdul Sattar Qasim |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
3) Mahmud Abbas |
62.3 |
58.0 |
69.9 |
|
4) Mustafa Barghouti |
3.6 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
|
5) Hasan Khreisheh |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
6) Marwan Barghouti |
15.6 |
18.1 |
11.1 |
|
7) Taysir Khalid |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
8) Don’t Know |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
9) No One |
17.6 |
18.5 |
16.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
54-2) Protect
the right of retrun |
|||
|
1) Bassam Salhi |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
2) Abdul Sattar Qasim |
1.5 |
2.1 |
0.4 |
|
3) Mahmud Abbas |
26.3 |
24.3 |
29.8 |
|
4) Mustafa Barghouti |
6.1 |
6.7 |
5.1 |
|
5) Hasan Khreisheh |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
6) Marwan Barghouti |
37.0 |
38.8 |
34.0 |
|
7) Taysir Khalid |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
8) Don’t Know |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
9) No One |
27.3 |
25.7 |
30.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
54-3) Protect
national unity and prevent internal infighting |
|||
|
1) Bassam Salhi |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
2) Abdul Sattar Qasim |
1.0 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
|
3) Mahmud Abbas |
35.3 |
31.0 |
42.7 |
|
4) Mustafa Barghouti |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
|
5) Hasan Khreisheh |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
6) Marwan Barghouti |
33.0 |
36.9 |
26.3 |
|
7) Taysir Khalid |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
8) Don’t Know |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
9) No One |
23.1 |
22.9 |
23.5 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
54-4) Improve
Palestinian economic conditions |
|||
|
1) Bassam Salhi |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
2) Abdul Sattar Qasim |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
|
3) Mahmud Abbas |
51.9 |
44.7 |
64.4 |
|
4) Mustafa Barghouti |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
|
5) Hasan Khreisheh |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
6) Marwan Barghouti |
18.0 |
21.5 |
11.9 |
|
7) Taysir Khalid |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
8) Don’t Know 0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
9) No One |
23.4 |
26.7 |
17.6 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
54-5) Enforce
law and order in the |
|||
|
1) Bassam Salhi |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
2) Abdul Sattar Qasim |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
3) Mahmud Abbas |
46.8 |
42.6 |
54.0 |
|
4) Mustafa Barghouti |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
|
5) Hasan Khreisheh |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
6) Marwan Barghouti |
22.9 |
25.4 |
18.4 |
|
7) Taysir Khalid |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
8) Don’t Know |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
9) No One |
25.6 |
26.7 |
23.7 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
55) If you participate in the
presidential elections, whom would you elect from among those listed? |
|||
|
1) All other candidates |
2.9 |
3.9 |
1.3 |
|
2) Mahmud Abbas |
40.4 |
34.7 |
49.8 |
|
3) Marwan Barghouti |
37.5 |
40.6 |
32.4 |
|
4) Mustafa Barghouti |
6.2 |
6.9 |
5.0 |
|
5) No Opinion /Don’t know |
12.9 |
13.8 |
11.5 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
56) From his jail, Marwan Barghouti
has decided not to nominate himself as a presidential candidate. If he did nominate himself, would you have
voted for him or would you have voted for the candidate you have indicated in
the previous question or would you have not voted for him or any other
candidate? |
|||
|
1) I would have voted for Marwan Barghouti |
39.5 |
15.0 |
60.9 |
|
2) I would have voted for the candidate I have indicated in the previous question |
44.2 |
55.0 |
34.8 |
|
3) I would not vote for Marwan Barghouti or any other candidate |
9.3 |
15.0 |
4.3 |
|
4) I will not participate in the elections |
7.0 |
15.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
57)
Hamas has decided not to nominate one of its
leaders to compete in the presidential elections. If it did nominate one of
its leaders, say Mahmud Zahhar, would you have voted
for him or would you have voted for the candidate you have indicated in the
previous question or would you have not voted for him or any other candidate? |
|||
|
1) I would have voted for Mahmud Zahhar |
28.0 |
25.6 |
32.1 |
|
2) I would have voted for the candidate I have indicated in the previous question |
55.3 |
56.8 |
52.6 |
|
3) I would not vote for Mahmud Zahhar or any other candidate |
4.8 |
5.9 |
2.9 |
|
4) I will not participate in the elections |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
|
5) No Opinion/Don’t know |
5.6 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
58) If it was up to you, who among the
following three individuals would you prefer to become the president of the
Palestinian Authority? |
|||
|
1) Mahmud Zahhar |
23.8 |
22.7 |
25.7 |
|
2) Mahmud Abbas (Abu Mazin) |
28.6 |
25.9 |
33.3 |
|
3) Marwan Barghouti |
33.5 |
36.0 |
29.2 |
|
4) None of the above |
11.0 |
12.8 |
7.9 |
|
5) No Opinion/Don’t know |
3.1 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
59) Would the person you have selected
be able to lead the Palestinian people under the current conditions? |
|||
|
1) Certainly will be able |
40.8 |
35.2 |
50.3 |
|
2) Think will be able |
42.5 |
47.7 |
33.7 |
|
3) Think will not be able |
4.0 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
|
4) Certainly will not be able |
1.7 |
2.2 |
0.8 |
|
5) No Opinion/Don’t know |
11.0 |
11.3 |
10.6 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
60) And what about the prime minister?
If it was up to you, who among the following would you select to become the
prime minister? From among the following names, who would be your preferred
person to be a prime minister? |
|||
|
01) Saeb Erikat |
12.8 |
13.3 |
12.0 |
|
02) Haidar Abdul Shafi |
23.1 |
23.5 |
22.4 |
|
03) Marwan Barghouti |
17.4 |
18.0 |
16.4 |
|
04) Ahmad Quarie |
7.5 |
7.2 |
8.1 |
|
05) Mahmud Abbas |
5.9 |
5.8 |
6.0 |
|
06) Mohammad Dahlan |
3.4 |
1.8 |
6.2 |
|
07) Mahmud Zahhar |
11.4 |
11.5 |
11.2 |
|
08) No one/ Will decide later |
13.9 |
13.6 |
14.5 |
|
09) I will not participate
|
1.3 |
2.0 |
0.0 |
|
10) Others |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
|
|
Total% |
|
|
|
61) Which of
the following political parties do you support? |
|||
|
1) PPP |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
|
2) PFLP |
2.4 |
2.9 |
1.4 |
|
3) Fateh |
40.2 |
40.9 |
39.0 |
|
4) Hamas |
17.6 |
15.3 |
21.8 |
|
5) DFLP |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
|
6) Islamic Jihad |
2.3 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
|
7) Fida |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
8) Independent Islamists |
3.7 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
|
9) Independent Nationalists |
5.9 |
7.3 |
3.4 |
|
10) None of the above |
25.4 |
24.3 |
27.3 |
|
11) Other, specify ------ |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
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