PSR - Survey Research Unit: Exit Polls Results Poll 12 press release

 

Results of Local Elections Exit Poll

West Bank 23 December 2004

Gaza Strip 27 Jan 2005

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

1) The following factors may or may not be important in your selection of the candidates. Tell us how important each is to you?

1-1) Family relation

1) Very important

18.1

20.8

14.4

2) Important

24.1

24.6

23.5

3) Unimportant

45.0

44.4

45.9

4) Unimportant at all

12.4

9.8

16.0

5) DK/NA

0.3

0.4

0.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

1-2) Uncorrupt, a person of integrity

1) Very important

70.9

65.6

78.4

2) Important

26.7

32.1

19.3

3) Unimportant

1.9

1.9

2.0

4) Unimportant at all

0.2

0.2

0.2

5) DK/NA

0.2

0.3

0.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

1-3) Position on the peace process

1) Very important

41.3

39.8

43.3

2) Important

42.6

43.3

41.5

3) Unimportant

13.0

13.5

12.4

4) Unimportant at all

1.6

1.8

1.4

5) DK/NA

1.5

1.6

1.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

1-4) Level of education

1) Very important

63.5

58.9

69.8

2) Important

29.5

32.6

25.1

3) Unimportant

6.4

7.7

4.5

4) Unimportant at all

0.6

0.7

0.4

5) DK/NA

0.0

0.0

0.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

1-5) Level of religiosity

1) Very important

51.0

45.7

58.2

2) Important

30.5

32.4

27.9

3) Unimportant

16.1

19.1

12.0

4) Unimportant at all

2.0

2.6

1.3

5) DK/NA

0.4

0.2

0.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

1-6) Political affiliation

1) Very important

25.8

23.8

28.6

2) Important

29.3

28.6

30.4

3) Unimportant

36.6

39.3

32.8

4) Unimportant at all

7.5

7.5

7.5

5) DK/NA

0.8

0.8

0.7

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

1-7) personal relations

1) Very important

15.5

16.1

14.7

2) Important

24.5

26.3

22.2

3) Unimportant

46.3

46.6

45.8

4) Unimportant at all

13.2

10.8

16.4

5) DK/NA

0.5

0.2

1.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

2) Do you believe the elections process has been

1) Certainly fair

28.7

26.5

31.6

2) Fair

62.3

62.9

61.4

3) Unfair

4.3

4.8

3.5

4) Certainly unfair

0.7

1.0

0.2

5) DK/NA

4.1

4.8

3.2

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

3) Now after you have voted in the elections for your local council, who do think are the most likely to win the majority of the seats, those who have been nominated by their families regardless of their political affiliation, or the candidates of Fateh, Hamas/Islamis Jihad, or the independents?

1) Fateh candidates

32.5

31.3

34.2

2) Hamas/Islamic Jihad candidates

21.6

13.8

32.3

3) None of the above, the winners will be those nominated by families

10.4

14.8

4.3

4) Independent candidates

14.0

16.0

11.2

5) Others (specify--- )

7.3

6.7

8.1

6) DK/NA

14.0

17.4

9.9

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

4) And what about you, did you give your vote to candidates who are all or mostly from Fateh, Hamas/Islamic Jihad, independents, or those nominated by your family regardless of their political affiliation?

1) I voted for Fateh candidates

29.9

29.4

30.7

2) I voted for Hamas/Islamic Jihad candidates

19.1

12.1

28.9

3) I voted for independent candidates

14.0

17.3

9.3

4) I voted for my family’s candidate

12.2

17.8

4.6

5) I voted for other candidates

24.7

23.7

26.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

5) How do you evaluate the performance of the appointed local council in your area during the pervious period?

1) very good

7.4

8.6

5.7

2) good

42.7

49.3

33.6

3) bad

26.1

24.5

28.4

4) very bad

21.6

14.7

31.0

5) DK/NA

2.2

2.9

1.3

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

6) And how do you expect the performance of the new elected council to be in the coming period?

1) Very good

50.0

44.2

58.0

2) Good

43.3

47.6

37.2

3) Bad

1.3

1.8

0.7

4) Very bad

0.9

0.5

1.4

5) DK/NA

4.5

5.9

2.7

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

7) In your view, was there corruption in the appointed local council in your area in the past? For example, did appointed members misuse their authority in order to make personal gains?

1) Certainly yes

28.0

21.9

36.6

2) Yes

32.8

30.0

36.6

3) No

27.7

33.3

19.9

4) Certainly no

2.5

3.5

1.1

5) DK/NA

9.1

11.3

6.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

8) And do you expect the council members you have elected today to fight this kind of corruption in the future?

1) Certainly yes

48.5

43.3

54.4

2) Yes

44.4

48.2

40.2

3) No

3.4

3.6

3.3

4) Certainly no

0.4

0.0

0.8

5) DK/NA

3.3

5.0

1.3

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9) The following is a list of services that local councils deliver in many countries. Tell us first if you are satisfied or unsatisfied with the performance of your former local council in delivering these services and if the service is not within the responsibilities of your council, tell us if your would like or do not like your newly elected council to deliver the service to your area. 

9-1) Water (Service provided)

94.0

91.0

97.0

1) Satisfied

51.1

58.9

40.9

2) Dissatisfied

48.9

41.1

59.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-1a) Water (Service not provided)

6.0

9.0

3.0

1) Wish to see service provided

100.0

100.0

100.0

2) Don't wish to see it provided

0.0

0.0

0.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-2) Sewage (Service provided)

60.0

36.0

94.0

1) Satisfied

41.5

37.0

43.8

2) Dissatisfied

58.5

63.0

56.2

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-2a) Sewage (Service not provided)

40.0

64.0

6.0

1) Wish to see service provided

98.2

98.2

100.0

2) Don't wish to see it provided

1.8

1.8

0.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-3) Electricity (Service provided)

91.0

94.0

88.0

1) Satisfied

55.4

64.0

42.7

2) Dissatisfied

44.6

36.0

57.3

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-3a) Electricity (Service not provided)

9.0

6.0

12.0

1) Wish to see service provided

83.0

86.8

80.2

2) Don't wish to see it provided

17.0

13.2

19.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-4) Roads (Service provided)

95.0

96.0

95.0

1) Satisfied

39.7

44.2

33.4

2) Dissatisfied

60.3

55.8

66.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-4a) Roads (Service not provided)

5.0

4.0

5.0

1) Wish to see service provided

100.0

100.0

100.0

2) Don't wish to see it provided

0.0

0.0

0.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-5) Street Cleaning and garbage Collection (Service provided)

95.0

95.0

95.0

1) Satisfied

37.2

43.2

28.9

2) Dissatisfied

62.8

56.8

71.1

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-5a) Street Cleaning and garbage Collection (Service not provided)

5.0

5.0

5.0

1) Wish to see service provided

98.8

100.0

97.0

2) Don't wish to see it provided

1.2

0.0

3.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-6) Building permits (Service provided)

94.0

94.0

92.0

1) Satisfied

44.0

46.2

41.1

2) Dissatisfied

56.0

53.8

58.9

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-6a) Building permits (Service not provided)

6.0

6.0

7.0

1) Wish to see service provided

94.8

96.4

92.7

2) Don't wish to see it provided

5.2

3.6

7.3

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-7) Collection of taxes and fees (Service provided)

93.0

92.0

95.0

1) Satisfied

37.5

46.2

25.8

2) Dissatisfied

62.5

53.8

74.2

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-7a) Collection of taxes and fees (Service not provided)

7.0

8.0

5.0

1) Wish to see service provided

77.8

79.0

74.1

2) Don't wish to see it provided

22.2

21.0

25.9

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-8) Schools (Service provided)

72.0

88.0

50.0

1) Satisfied

57.8

57.5

58.4

2) Dissatisfied

42.2

42.5

41.6

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-8a) Schools (Service not provided)

28.0

12.0

50.0

1) Wish to see service provided

76.1

93.1

70.6

2) Don't wish to see it provided

23.9

6.9

29.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-9) Libraries (Service provided)

49.0

56.0

39.0

1) Satisfied

47.4

52.0

38.1

2) Dissatisfied

52.6

48.0

61.9

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-9a) Libraries (Service not provided)

51.0

44.0

61.0

1) Wish to see service provided

93.2

99.6

86.8

2) Don't wish to see it provided

6.8

0.4

13.2

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-10) Hospitals and clinics (Service provided)

47.0

49.0

44.0

1) Satisfied

42.2

40.3

45.0

2) Dissatisfied

57.8

59.7

55.0

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-10a) Hospitals and clinics (Service not provided)

53.0

51.0

56.0

1) Wish to see service provided

89.1

97.5

78.3

2) Don't wish to see it provided

10.9

2.5

21.7

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-11) Housing (Service provided)

41.0

42.0

40.0

1) Satisfied

47.5

51.8

41.1

2) Dissatisfied

52.5

48.2

58.9

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-11a) Housing (Service not provided)

59.0

58.0

60.0

1) Wish to see service provided

94.1

98.1

88.6

2) Don't wish to see it provided

5.9

1.9

11.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-12) Civil defense/ fire fighting (Service provided)

46.0

49.0

41.0

1) Satisfied

56.1

57.8

53.2

2) Dissatisfied

43.9

42.2

46.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-12a) Civil defense/ fire fighting (Service not provided)

54.0

51.0

59.0

1) Wish to see service provided

90.8

98.8

81.2

2) Don't wish to see it provided

9.2

1.2

18.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-13) Police (Service provided)

44.0

41.0

49.0

1) Satisfied

62.2

61.9

62.6

2) Dissatisfied

37.8

38.1

37.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

9-13a) Police (Service not provided)

56.0

59.0

51.0

1) Wish to see service provided

82.9

95.5

62.2

2) Don't wish to see it provided

17.1

4.5

37.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

10) Do you support or oppose the integration of your local council with other neighboring council in a joint service council whereby service delivery, for example, water, electricity, and sewage, would be done jointly.

1) Strongly support

26.0

24.4

28.2

2) Support

50.5

52.1

48.4

3) Oppose

18.9

17.8

20.3

4) strongly oppose

2.8

3.3

1.9

5) DK/NA

1.9

2.4

1.2

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

11) Do you support for oppose the unification of your local council with other neighboring councils in your area?

1) Strongly support

17.3

16.4

18.5

2) Support

44.4

47.4

40.2

3) Oppose

30.7

27.5

35.1

4) strongly oppose

5.3

5.6

4.8

5) DK/NA

2.4

3.2

1.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

12) Do you support or oppose the immediate return to negotiations between Palestinians and Israelis?

1) Strongly support

21.9

18.3

27.0

2) Support

48.2

51.7

43.3

3) Oppose

19.7

20.0

19.3

4) strongly oppose

7.1

6.1

8.5

5) DK/NA

3.0

3.9

1.8

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

13) In your view, as of now, who came out a winner in the Palestinian-Israeli armed confrontations that started in September 2000?

1) Israel

12.5

15.3

8.7

2) Palestinians

40.4

31.8

52.3

3) Both

2.6

3.0

2.1

4) Neither

39.7

45.0

32.4

5) DK/NA

4.8

5.0

4.5

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

14) The following is a list of problems confronting the Palestinians today, tell us which one is the most important problem?

1) Spread of unemployment and poverty

35.1

34.6

35.9

2) The continuation of the occupation and its daily practices

34.5

36.7

31.4

3) Internal anarchy

6.1

6.4

5.7

4) The spread of corruption and lack of internal reforms

22.8

20.4

26.1

5) Others (specify--- )

1.0

1.3

0.5

6) DK/NA

0.5

0.6

0.4

 

Total%

West Bank %

Gaza Strip%

15) Which of the following factions and parties do you support:

1) PPP

1.1

1.6

0.3

2) PFLP

4.1

2.8

5.9

3) Fateh

39.2

40.5

37.4

4) Hamas

19.8

14.4

27.3

5) DFLP

1.6

2.6

0.3

6) Islamic Jihad

1.7

1.6

1.9

7) Fida

0.3

0.4

0.1

8) Independent Islamists

5.2

5.7

4.5

9) Independent nationalists

7.5

8.2

6.4

10) None of the above

18.6

20.9

15.5

11) Others (specify ---- )

0.9

1.2

0.3

                                                     

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