PSR - Survey Research Unit: Public Opinion Poll # 15 Poll 14 press release
Results of Poll # (15)

 

10-12 March 2005

 

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip %

1) Now that the first phase of the local elections in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip has been completed, what are your expectations regarding the outcome of the upcoming local elections in April of this year? In your view, which of the candidates will do well, those nominated by Hamas, Fateh, the Left, Independents, or those nominated by their families?

1) Fateh candidates

39.6

44.6

31.0

2) Hamas and Islamic Jihad candidates

36.8

29.6

49.2

3) leftest candidates (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and al Mobadara-the Initiative )

1.4

2.0

0.2

4) Independent candidates

5.5

7.7

1.9

5) family candidates

6.1

7.9

2.9

6) Other candidates

1.5

1.1

2.3

7) DK/NA

9.2

7.2

12.6

 

 

 

 

2) And what about you, will you give your vote in the local elections to candidates who are mostly from Fateh, Hamas and Islamic Jihad, the Left, the Independents, or family members?

1) Fateh candidates

35.8

37.1

33.7

2) Hamas and Islamic Jihad candidates

28.1

23.7

35.5

3) leftest candidates (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and al Mobadara-the Initiative )

2.4

3.4

0.8

4) Independent candidates

9.2

11.4

5.4

5) family candidates

5.1

6.0

3.5

6) Other candidates

4.7

4.8

4.5

7) DK/NA

14.7

13.7

16.5

 

 

 

 

3) And what about the Parliamentay elections which are scheduled to take place in mid July, what are your expectations regarding the outcome of these elections for the Palestinian Legislative Council? Who are the likely winners, those nominated by by Hamas, Fateh, the Left, Independents, or those nominated by their families?

1) Fateh candidates

51.8

55.1

46.1

2) Hamas and Islamic Jihad candidates

25.7

21.6

32.9

3) leftest candidates (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and al Mobadara-the Initiative )

0.9

1.2

0.4

4) Independent candidates

6.4

7.9

3.7

5) family candidates

2.2

2.8

1.2

6) Other candidates

2.0

1.8

2.3

7) DK/NA

11.1

9.7

13.4

 

 

 

 

4) And what about you, will you give your vote in the parliamentary elections to candidates who are mostly from Fateh, Hamas and Islamic Jihad, the Left, the Independents, or family members?

1) Fateh candidates

39.8

41.3

37.2

2) Hamas and Islamic Jihad candidates

26.3

22.5

32.9

3) leftest candidates (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and al Mobadara-the Initiative )

2.4

3.2

1.0

4) Independent candidates

8.6

10.2

5.8

5) family candidates

3.4

3.6

3.1

6) Other candidates

3.3

3.1

3.5

7) will not participate in the elections

9.2

10.1

7.6

8) DK/NA

7.1

6.0

8.9

 

 

 

 

5)  Going back to the results of the local elections that have taken place in some local councils in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, which saw Hamas winning most of the seats, what is your interpretation to the cause of Hamas victory?

1) Due to the integrity and incorruptibility of its candidates

43.1

43.4

42.6

2) Due to its unity and effective organization

33.2

34.1

31.6

3) Due to its opposition the peace process

12.4

12.1

12.8

4) Due to other reasons (specify: ----)

7.9

6.7

9.9

5) DK/NA

3.5

3.7

3.1

 

 

 

 

6)  And what about the defeat of Fateh in these local elections, what do you think has caused it?  

1) Due to the spread of corruption in the PA and Fateh

48.1

48.9

46.7

2) Due to divisions and insubordination within it

35.9

33.9

39.3

3) Due to support for the peace process

9.2

9.7

8.3

4) Due to other reasons (specify: -----)

2.7

2.5

2.9

5) DK/NA

4.2

4.9

2.9

 

 

 

 

7)  In February, a summit meeting was held at Sharm al Shaikh bringing together President Mahmud Abbas (Abu Mazin), Israeil Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, and the Jordanian King Abdullah. Do you feel today that the summit meeting has contributed or has not conrtibuted to reviving the Palestinian-Israeli peace process?

1) Definitely it contributed

8.4

6.1

12.4

2) think it contributed

35.6

37.7

32.0

3) Think it did not contribute

37.6

40.5

32.6

4) Definitely it did not contribute

14.2

12.0

18.0

5) DK/NA

4.2

3.7

5.0

 

 

 

 

8)  Now, two months after the election of Mahmud Abbas (Abu Mazin) as president, do you see him serious about fighting corruption?

1) Definitely yes

14.3

12.1

18.2

2) Yes

48.1

50.1

44.6

3) No

23.2

22.9

23.8

4) Definitely no

7.0

6.8

7.2

5) DK/NA

7.4

8.1

6.2

 

 

 

 

9)  And what about the practicle steps which he has taken so far to revive the peace process, such as the ceasefire, release of prisoners, and others? Tell us are you satisfied or unsatisfied with his performance in the peace process?

1) Very satisfied

14.0

10.7

19.8

2) Satisfied

61.0

60.8

61.4

3) Unsatisfied

18.8

21.7

13.8

4) Very unsatisfied

4.4

4.6

4.1

5) DK/NA

1.7

2.3

0.8

10)  President Abu Mazin has fired some of the top security officials. Tell us are you satisfied or unsatisfied with this step?

1) Very satisfied

19.3

16.4

24.4

2) Satisfied

51.1

50.3

52.5

3) Unsatisfied

15.8

17.2

13.4

4) Very unsatisfied

3.5

4.3

2.1

5) DK/NA

10.2

11.7

7.6

 

 

 

 

11) Abu Ala has formed a government composed of ministers who are not members of the PLC. What do you think of the new governement? For example, do you give it or do not give it confidence?

1) I certainly give it confidence

7.4

7.3

7.6

2) I give it confidence

37.8

39.3

35.3

3) I do not give it confidence

33.0

34.6

30.4

4) I certainly do not give it confidence

6.0

5.0

7.6

5) DK/NA

15.7

13.8

19.0

 

 

 

 

Do you think Abu Ala and his government are able to do the following?

12-1) political reforms you want

1) Certainly yes

8.8

8.9

8.7

2) yes

39.7

38.4

41.7

3) no

34.6

37.4

29.8

4) certainly no

9.1

7.7

11.6

5) DK/NA

7.9

7.7

8.3

 

 

 

 

12-2 fight corruption

1) Certainly yes

7.1

7.4

6.4

2) yes

44.4

43.2

46.5

3) no

33.0

35.9

27.9

4) certainly no

9.1

7.2

12.4

5) DK/NA

6.4

6.2

6.8

 

 

 

 

12-3 improve the economic conditions

1) Certainly yes

7.1

6.8

7.4

2) yes

49.5

48.8

50.8

3) no

29.1

31.1

25.6

4) certainly no

7.6

6.7

9.1

5) DK/NA

6.8

6.6

7.0

 

 

 

 

`12-4 return to negotiations with Israel

1) Certainly yes

12.3

12.6

11.8

2) yes

58.4

56.8

61.2

3) no

18.1

19.3

16.1

4) certainly no

4.9

4.6

5.4

5) DK/NA

6.4

6.8

5.6

 

 

 

 

12-5 control the internal security situation including the enforcement of a ceasefire on Palestinian factions

1) Certainly yes

7.7

7.2

8.7

2) yes

44.4

41.7

49.2

3) no

32.2

35.6

26.4

4) certainly no

8.6

8.6

8.7

5) DK/NA

7.0

6.9

7.0

 

 

 

 

13)  With regard to current negotiations between the Palestinian Authority and Israel, which issue in the short run should in your view be the first priority?

1) Freezing Israeli settlements

17.2

16.9

17.8

2) Return of laborers to work in Israel

16.8

11.1

26.7

3) Removal of checkpoints

11.4

14.6

6.0

4) Release of more prisoners

33.0

29.6

38.8

5) stop the building of the wall

17.1

22.5

7.9

6) others (specify: ------ )

3.4

3.8

2.7

7) DK/NA

1.0

1.4

0.2

 

 

 

 

14)  The PLC is currently debating an amendment to the election law. Some demand that women should be given a guaranteed percentage of seats in the new PLC, for example 20%, while others oppose that. Do you support or oppose such an amendment?

1) I strongly support giving women a guaranteed percentage of seats, about 20%.

43.1

41.0

46.8

2) I support giving women a guaranteed