PSR - Survey Research Unit: Public Opinion Poll # 15 Poll 14 press release
Results of Poll # (15)

 

10-12 March 2005

 

 

Total%

West Bank%

Gaza Strip %

1) Now that the first phase of the local elections in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip has been completed, what are your expectations regarding the outcome of the upcoming local elections in April of this year? In your view, which of the candidates will do well, those nominated by Hamas, Fateh, the Left, Independents, or those nominated by their families?

1) Fateh candidates

39.6

44.6

31.0

2) Hamas and Islamic Jihad candidates

36.8

29.6

49.2

3) leftest candidates (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and al Mobadara-the Initiative )

1.4

2.0

0.2

4) Independent candidates

5.5

7.7

1.9

5) family candidates

6.1

7.9

2.9

6) Other candidates

1.5

1.1

2.3

7) DK/NA

9.2

7.2

12.6

 

 

 

 

2) And what about you, will you give your vote in the local elections to candidates who are mostly from Fateh, Hamas and Islamic Jihad, the Left, the Independents, or family members?

1) Fateh candidates

35.8

37.1

33.7

2) Hamas and Islamic Jihad candidates

28.1

23.7

35.5

3) leftest candidates (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and al Mobadara-the Initiative )

2.4

3.4

0.8

4) Independent candidates

9.2

11.4

5.4

5) family candidates

5.1

6.0

3.5

6) Other candidates

4.7

4.8

4.5

7) DK/NA

14.7

13.7

16.5

 

 

 

 

3) And what about the Parliamentay elections which are scheduled to take place in mid July, what are your expectations regarding the outcome of these elections for the Palestinian Legislative Council? Who are the likely winners, those nominated by by Hamas, Fateh, the Left, Independents, or those nominated by their families?

1) Fateh candidates

51.8

55.1

46.1

2) Hamas and Islamic Jihad candidates

25.7

21.6

32.9

3) leftest candidates (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and al Mobadara-the Initiative )

0.9

1.2

0.4

4) Independent candidates

6.4

7.9

3.7

5) family candidates

2.2

2.8

1.2

6) Other candidates

2.0

1.8

2.3

7) DK/NA

11.1

9.7

13.4

 

 

 

 

4) And what about you, will you give your vote in the parliamentary elections to candidates who are mostly from Fateh, Hamas and Islamic Jihad, the Left, the Independents, or family members?

1) Fateh candidates

39.8

41.3

37.2

2) Hamas and Islamic Jihad candidates

26.3

22.5

32.9

3) leftest candidates (PFLP, DFLP, PPP, and al Mobadara-the Initiative )

2.4

3.2

1.0

4) Independent candidates

8.6

10.2

5.8

5) family candidates

3.4

3.6

3.1

6) Other candidates

3.3

3.1

3.5

7) will not participate in the elections

9.2

10.1

7.6

8) DK/NA

7.1

6.0

8.9

 

 

 

 

5)  Going back to the results of the local elections that have taken place in some local councils in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, which saw Hamas winning most of the seats, what is your interpretation to the cause of Hamas victory?

1) Due to the integrity and incorruptibility of its candidates

43.1

43.4

42.6

2) Due to its unity and effective organization

33.2

34.1

31.6

3) Due to its opposition the peace process

12.4

12.1

12.8

4) Due to other reasons (specify: ----)

7.9

6.7

9.9

5) DK/NA

3.5

3.7

3.1

 

 

 

 

6)  And what about the defeat of Fateh in these local elections, what do you think has caused it?  

1) Due to the spread of corruption in the PA and Fateh

48.1

48.9

46.7

2) Due to divisions and insubordination within it

35.9

33.9

39.3

3) Due to support for the peace process

9.2

9.7

8.3

4) Due to other reasons (specify: -----)

2.7

2.5

2.9

5) DK/NA

4.2

4.9

2.9

 

 

 

 

7)  In February, a summit meeting was held at Sharm al Shaikh bringing together President Mahmud Abbas (Abu Mazin), Israeil Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, and the Jordanian King Abdullah. Do you feel today that the summit meeting has contributed or has not conrtibuted to reviving the Palestinian-Israeli peace process?

1) Definitely it contributed

8.4

6.1

12.4

2) think it contributed

35.6

37.7

32.0

3) Think it did not contribute

37.6

40.5

32.6

4) Definitely it did not contribute

14.2

12.0

18.0

5) DK/NA

4.2

3.7

5.0

 

 

 

 

8)  Now, two months after the election of Mahmud Abbas (Abu Mazin) as president, do you see him serious about fighting corruption?

1) Definitely yes

14.3

12.1

18.2

2) Yes

48.1

50.1

44.6

3) No

23.2

22.9

23.8

4) Definitely no

7.0

6.8

7.2

5) DK/NA

7.4

8.1

6.2

 

 

 

 

9)  And what about the practicle steps which he has taken so far to revive the peace process, such as the ceasefire, release of prisoners, and others? Tell us are you satisfied or unsatisfied with his performance in the peace process?

1) Very satisfied

14.0

10.7

19.8

2) Satisfied

61.0

60.8

61.4

3) Unsatisfied

18.8

21.7

13.8

4) Very unsatisfied

4.4

4.6

4.1

5) DK/NA

1.7

2.3

0.8

10)  President Abu Mazin has fired some of the top security officials. Tell us are you satisfied or unsatisfied with this step?

1) Very satisfied

19.3

16.4

24.4

2) Satisfied

51.1

50.3

52.5

3) Unsatisfied

15.8

17.2

13.4

4) Very unsatisfied

3.5

4.3

2.1

5) DK/NA

10.2

11.7

7.6

 

 

 

 

11) Abu Ala has formed a government composed of ministers who are not members of the PLC. What do you think of the new governement? For example, do you give it or do not give it confidence?

1) I certainly give it confidence

7.4

7.3

7.6

2) I give it confidence

37.8

39.3

35.3

3) I do not give it confidence

33.0

34.6

30.4

4) I certainly do not give it confidence

6.0

5.0

7.6

5) DK/NA

15.7

13.8

19.0

 

 

 

 

Do you think Abu Ala and his government are able to do the following?

12-1) political reforms you want

1) Certainly yes

8.8

8.9

8.7

2) yes

39.7

38.4

41.7

3) no

34.6

37.4

29.8

4) certainly no

9.1

7.7

11.6

5) DK/NA

7.9

7.7

8.3

 

 

 

 

12-2 fight corruption

1) Certainly yes

7.1

7.4

6.4

2) yes

44.4

43.2

46.5

3) no

33.0

35.9

27.9

4) certainly no

9.1

7.2

12.4

5) DK/NA

6.4

6.2

6.8

 

 

 

 

12-3 improve the economic conditions

1) Certainly yes

7.1

6.8

7.4

2) yes

49.5

48.8

50.8

3) no

29.1

31.1

25.6

4) certainly no

7.6

6.7

9.1

5) DK/NA

6.8

6.6

7.0

 

 

 

 

`12-4 return to negotiations with Israel

1) Certainly yes

12.3

12.6

11.8

2) yes

58.4

56.8

61.2

3) no

18.1

19.3

16.1

4) certainly no

4.9

4.6

5.4

5) DK/NA

6.4

6.8

5.6

 

 

 

 

12-5 control the internal security situation including the enforcement of a ceasefire on Palestinian factions

1) Certainly yes

7.7

7.2

8.7

2) yes

44.4

41.7

49.2

3) no

32.2

35.6

26.4

4) certainly no

8.6

8.6

8.7

5) DK/NA

7.0

6.9

7.0

 

 

 

 

13)  With regard to current negotiations between the Palestinian Authority and Israel, which issue in the short run should in your view be the first priority?

1) Freezing Israeli settlements

17.2

16.9

17.8

2) Return of laborers to work in Israel

16.8

11.1

26.7

3) Removal of checkpoints

11.4

14.6

6.0

4) Release of more prisoners

33.0

29.6

38.8

5) stop the building of the wall

17.1

22.5

7.9

6) others (specify: ------ )

3.4

3.8

2.7

7) DK/NA

1.0

1.4

0.2

 

 

 

 

14)  The PLC is currently debating an amendment to the election law. Some demand that women should be given a guaranteed percentage of seats in the new PLC, for example 20%, while others oppose that. Do you support or oppose such an amendment?

1) I strongly support giving women a guaranteed percentage of seats, about 20%.

43.1

41.0

46.8

2) I support giving women a guaranteed percentage of seats, about 20%.

34.1

38.3

26.7

3) I oppose giving women a guaranteed percentage of seats, about 20%.

12.9

12.2

14.1

4) I strongly oppose giving women a guaranteed percentage of seats, about 20%.

7.8

6.1

10.8

5) DK/NA

2.1

2.4

1.7

 

 

 

 

15)  Also some prefer to keep the current majoritarian electoral system in which Palestine is divided into 16 districts and where the winning candidate is the one who wins the majority of votes in his district, while others prefer replacing it with a new proportional representation system whereby Palestine become one district and each party or political movement receives a number of seats equal to the percentage of votes in received from voters. Another group prefers a mixed system that combines the two systems. Which system you prefere: the majoritarian, the proportional representation, or the mixed?

1) prefer the current majoritarian system

39.2

37.9

41.3

2) prefer a proportional representation system

25.5

26.4

24.0

3) prefer a mixed system: 50% of the seats by a majoritarian system and 50% by a proportional representation system

18.7

18.2

19.4

4) prefer a mixed system: one third of the seats by a majoritarian system and two thirds by a proportional representation system

3.5

3.5

3.5

5) prefer a mixed system: two thirds of the seats by a majoritarian system and one third by a proportional representation system

2.9

2.4

3.7

6) DK/NA

10.3

11.6

8.1

 

 

 

 

 

16)  Do you see Sharon's plan to evacuate the Israeli settlements from Gaza as a victory for the Palestinian armed struggle against Israel or don't you see it as a victory?

1) Definitely this is a Palestinian victory

38.8

31.7

51.0

2) Think this is a Palestinian victory

36.6

38.6

33.1

3) Think this is not a Palestinian victory

18.6

21.9

12.8

4) Definitely this is not a Palestinian victory

4.7

5.6

3.1

5) DK/NA

1.4

2.2

0.0

 

 

 

 

17)  And how do you think most Palestinians see Sharon's plan to evacuate the Israeli settlements from Gaza? Do most Palestinians see it or don't see it as a victory for the Palestinian armed struggle?

1) Most Palestinians see it as a victory for the Palestinians

77.3

73.2

84.5

2) Most Palestinians don't see it as a victory for the Palestinians

17.9

21.6

11.6

3) DK/NA

4.5

5.1

3.5

 

 

 

 

18)  How would you evaluate the capacity of the Palestinian Authority to control matters in the Gaza Strip after Israel’s disengagement there?

1) High capacity

30.6

29.7

31.6

2) Reasonable capacity

43.0

39.8

48.6

3) Low capacity

15.0

16.9

11.8

4) The capacity does not exist

8.3

10.4

4.8

4) DK/NA

3.3

3.2

3.3

 

 

 

 

19) If Israel disengages fully in the Gaza strip, including the evacuation of all settlements and the Philadelphi route, and if it lifts the air and sea blockade on the Gaza strip, do you in this case support or oppose the continuation of armed attackds aginast Israeli targets from the Gaza Strip?

1) strongly support

4.6

4.4

5.0

2) support

24.4

25.0

23.3

3) oppose

55.0

56.0

53.1

4) strongly oppose

12.5

9.8

17.1

5) DK/NA

3.5

4.7

1.4

 

 

 

 

20) The US, Russia, the European Community and the UN, the so called "Quartet", have put forward a "Roadmap" for the implementation of a final settlement within 3 years. The plan includes political reforms in the Palestinian Authority, including a constitution and election of a strong Prime Minister, stopping the incitement and violence on both sides under the Quartet's supervision, a freeze on settlements and the establishment of a Palestinian State within provisional borders. The next phase will see negotiations on the final borders under the auspices of an international conference. Do you support or oppose this initiative?

1) Strongly support

8.7

5.4

14.5

2) Support

50.6

53.3

45.9

3) Oppose

26.0

28.3

22.1

4) Strongly oppose

8.8

7.3

11.4

5) Don’t know/No answer

5.9

5.7

6.2

 

 

 

 

21) Now that the Palestinians performed orderly elections for Presidency in the Palestinian Authority, could this be seen or could it not be seen as a step forward towards democracy in the Palestinian Authority?

1) Definitely could be seen as a step forward

30.8

25.3

40.2

2) Think this could be seen as a step forward

49.3

52.3

44.1

3) Think this could not be seen as a step forward

12.1

13.8

9.1

4) Definitely could not be seen as a step forward

4.9

5.2

4.3

5) DK/NA

3.0

3.5

2.3

 

 

 

 

22) And what are the chances that a democratic system will be established in the Palestinian Authority or in a future Palestinian State?

1) Very slim chances

10.0

9.7

10.5

2) Slim chances

24.7

28.3

18.6

3) Medium chances

43.7

42.2

46.3

4) High chances

16.4

15.6

17.8

5) Very high chances

2.2

1.9

2.7

5) DK/NA

3.0

2.4

4.1

 

 

 

 

23) How would you evaluate the current status of democracy and human rights in the Palestinian Authority? Would you say it is:

1) Very good

4.3

4.0

5.0

2) Good

30.6

31.6

28.7

3) Fair

34.3

34.5

34.1

4) Bad

18.0

17.5

18.8

5) Very bad

11.1

10.5

12.0

6) DK/NA

1.7

1.9

1.4

 

 

 

 

24)  What do you expect to happen now after the summit meeting between Abu-Mazin and Sharon in Sharm al-Shaikh?

1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop

24.9

21.6

30.6

2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue

54.5

57.6

49.2

3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to negotiations

14.7

15.6

13.2

4) DK/NA

5.9

5.3

7.0

 

 

 

 

25) There are two approaches to solving the conflict with the Palestinians: A solution in stages over several years or a comprehensive agreement on all issues at once.

A solution in stages allows to better verify the other side’s compliance but creates an incentive for the disruption of the process along the way.

A comprehensive solution of all issues at once  is less efficient in terms of the verification of the other side’s compliance but decreases the chances that the process will fail along the way. Which approach do you prefer?

1) A solution in stages over several years

31.1

29.3

34.3

2) A comprehensive solution of all issues at once

59.1

59.4

58.5

3) (Do not read)  Don’t prefer any of these approaches

3.3

3.5

3.1

3) (Do not read)  Not interested in an agrement

2.1

2.8

0.8

5) (Do not read) DK/NA

4.4

5.0

3.3

 

 

 

 

26) and if the PA will adopt the approach you prefer less, will you support or oppose the decision?

1) Will definitely support

6.9

4.7

10.7

2) Think will support

43.8

46.3

39.5

3) Think will oppose

35.6

35.4

35.7

4) Will definitely oppose

4.9

4.7

5.2

5) DK/NA

8.9

8.9

8.9

 

 

 

 

27) In your opinion, is it possible these days to reach a compromise settlement with the current Israeli leadership?

1) Definitely possible

6.4

4.6

9.5

2) Think it is possible

52.4

51.0

55.0

3) Think it is impossible

29.6

33.1

23.6

4) Definitely impossible

10.9

10.4

11.8

5) DK/NA

0.7

1.0

0.2

 

 

 

 

28) And if a compromise settlement is negotiated with the Israeli leadership, do you think the Israeli leaders are strong enough to convince the Israelis to accept such a compromise settlement?

1) Definitely they are

17.1

15.9

19.0

2) Think they are

48.1

51.0

43.0

3) Think they are not

25.5

24.1

27.9

4) Definitely they are not

6.3

6.2

6.4

5) DK/NA

3.1

2.8

3.7

 

 

 

 

29) And what about the Palestinian leadership? Is it strong enough to convince the Palestinians to accept such a compromise settlement?

1) Definitely it is

13.3

11.5

16.5

2) Think it is

48.6

51.1

44.2

3) Think it is not

27.6

27.3

28.1

4) Definitely it is not

7.6

7.3

8.1

5) DK/NA

2.9

2.8

3.1

 

 

 

 

30)  Do you support the participation of Hamas in the negotiations between the Palestinian Authority and Israel?

1) Definitely support

28.2

22.6

37.8

2) support

50.6

56.4

40.5

3) oppose

15.0

14.7

15.5

4) Definitely oppose

3.7

3.7

3.7

5) DK/NA

2.5

2.5

2.5

 

 

 

 

31) And what about the majority of the Palestinian public? Do most Palestinians support or oppose the participation of Hamas in the negotiations between the Palestinian Authority and Israeli?

1) Majority supports

59.5

56.5

64.7

2) Majority opposes

30.1

31.5

27.6

3) DK/NA       

10.3

12.0

7.5

 

 

 

 

32) How soon do you think will a political settlement between Israel and the Palestinians be achieved?

1) A political settlement is not possible ever

 

34.3

33.0

36.6

2) only in many generations to come

23.5

25.7

19.7

3) only in the next generation

8.9

9.2

8.3

4) only in the next decade

4.7

5.0

4.1

5) in the next few years

22.2

20.7

24.8

6) DK/NA

6.4

6.4

6.4

 

 

 

 

33) Who came out the winner in the ongoing armed conflict that has started in September 2000 between Israel and the Palestinians?

1) Israel

15.8

19.3

9.7

2) the Palestinians

33.1

23.6

49.4

3) Both

6.9

7.7

5.6

4) Neither

42.3

46.9

34.5

5) DK/NA

1.9

2.5

0.8

 

 

 

 

34) And what do the majority of Palestinians think on this issue? In their opinion, who came out the winner in the armed conflict so far?

1) Israel

17.6

22.1

9.9

2) the Palestinians

40.8

31.9

56.2

3) Both

4.2

3.8

4.8

4) Neither

30.9

35.7

22.5

5) DK/NA

6.5

6.5

6.6

 

 

 

 

35) And what do the majority of Israelis think on this issue? In their opinion, who came out the winner in the armed conflict so far?

1) Israel

55.8

55.9

55.6

2) the Palestinians

15.7

12.6

21.1

3) Both

2.4

2.5

2.3

4) Neither

19.3

22.9

13.0

5) DK/NA

6.7

6.1

7.9

 

 

 

 

36) Do you believe that armed confrontations so far has helped achieve Palestinian national and political rights in ways that negotiations could not achieve?

1) Definitely yes

19.6

14.7

28.1

2) Yes

47.1

47.5

46.3

3) No

25.2

29.1

18.4

4) Definitely no

5.5

5.3

5.8

5) DK/NA

2.7

3.4

1.4

 

 

 

 

37) Do you support or oppose the mutual cease fire which has been reached with Israel?

1) Definitely support

20.1

15.0

28.9

2) Support

62.7

64.4

59.7

3) Oppose

13.4

15.8

9.3

4) Definitely oppose

2.8

3.2

2.1

5) DK/NA

1.0

1.6

0.0

 

 

 

 

38) Two weeks ago, a bombing attack took place in Tel Aviv leading to the death of four Israelis and the injury of 50 others in front of a night club. Do you support or oppose this attack?

1) strongly support

6.5

6.7

6.2

2) support

22.6

23.6

20.9

3) oppose

53.3

53.6

52.9

4) strongly oppose

13.8

11.9

17.1

5) DK/NA

3.7

4.2

2.9

 

 

 

 

39) The PA is currently taking steps, such as arrests, to prevent attacks like this one in Tel Aviv and to punish those who committed it. Do you support or oppose these steps?

1) strongly support

7.1

6.4

8.3

2) support

33.3

35.1

30.2

3) oppose

44.0

43.2

45.5

4) strongly oppose

12.5

11.6

14.0

5) DK/NA       

3.1

3.7

2.1

 

 

 

 

40) Do you support or oppose a return to negotiations with Israel on a comprehensive settlement to the conflict?

1) Definitely support

16.8

12.5

24.2

2) Support

67.5

70.4

62.6

3) Oppose

12.0

12.4

11.4

4) Definitely oppose

2.4

2.9

1.4

5) DK/NA

1.4

1.9

0.4

 

 

 

 

41)  If a peace agreement is reached, and a Palestinian state is established and recognized by Israel, would you support or oppose the efforts to reach full reconciliation between Israel and the Palestinian state?

1) Would strongly support

15.2

10.8

22.7

2) Would support

65.9

70.3

58.5

3) Would oppose

12.6

13.4

11.2

4) Would strongly oppose

4.4

3.2

6.4

5) DK/NA

1.9

2.3

1.2

 

 

 

 

42) If a peace agreement is reached and a Palestinian state is established and recognized by Israel, how soon do you think full reconciliation between the two people will be achieved?

1) Reconciliation is not possible ever

33.7

32.3

36.2

2) Only in many generations to come

21.5

22.4

19.8

3) Only in the next generation

12.7

13.4

11.6

4) Only in the next decade

7.1

7.8

5.8

5) In the next few years

17.0

16.4

18.0

6) DK/NA

8.0

7.7

8.7

 

 

 

 

43) After reaching a peace agreement and the establishment of a Palestinian state that is recognized by Israel, the following are steps that may be taken in order to enhance normalization between the state of Israel and a Palestinian state. For each of the suggested steps please tell me whether you support or oppose it:

43-1) Open borders to free movement of people and goods

1) Strongly Support

30.4

27.7

35.1

2) Support

59.0

61.4

54.8

3) Oppose

7.6

8.0

6.8

4) Strongly Oppose

1.7

1.6

1.9

5) DK/NA

1.2

1.3

1.0

 

 

 

 

43-2) Create joint economic institutions and ventures

1) Strongly Support

21.4

18.1

27.1

2) Support

51.5

53.3

48.3

3) Oppose

20.5

21.9

18.0

4) Strongly Oppose

4.9

4.6

5.6

5) DK/NA

1.7

2.2

1.0

 

 

 

 

43-3) Create joint political institutions designed eventually to lead to a confederate system

1) Strongly Support

8.3

7.1

10.3

2) Support

32.0

31.4

33.1

3) Oppose

41.6

44.1

37.4

4) Strongly Oppose

13.7

12.5

15.9

5) DK/NA

4.3

5.0

3.1

 

 

 

 

43-4) Take legal measures against incitement against the Israelis

1) Strongly Support

5.7

4.2

8.3

2) Support

36.0

35.8

36.4

3) Oppose

40.6

41.7

38.6

4) Strongly Oppose

13.3

13.7

12.8

5) DK/NA

4.4

4.7

3.9

 

 

 

 

43-5) Adopt a school curriculum that recognizes Israel and teaches school children not to demand return of all Palestine to the Palestinians

1) Strongly Support

2.8

2.0

4.1

2) Support

10.5

10.8

10.1

3) Oppose

48.4

50.5

44.6

4) Strongly Oppose

35.6

33.7

38.8

5) DK/NA

2.7

3.0

2.3

 

 

 

 

44) And on a personal level, would you, under conditions of peace, invite a Israeli colleague or acquaintance to visit you in your home?

1) definitely yes

7.4

7.0

8.1

2) Yes

26.1

30.0

19.4

3) No

38.3

41.0

33.7

4) Definitely no

26.6

20.0

37.8

5) DK/NA

1.7

2.0

1.0

 

 

 

 

45) And would you, under conditions of peace, visit an Israeli colleague or acquaintance in his home?

1) Definitely yes

7.1

6.1

8.9

2) Yes

25.7

29.5

19.2

3) No

39.1

41.8

34.5

4) Definitely no

26.5

20.7

36.6

5) DK/NA

1.5

1.9

0.8

 

 

 

 

46) In your opinion, is lasting peace possible between Israelis and

            Palestinians?

1) Definitely possible

3.1

1.3

6.2

2) Possible

27.2

28.8

24.6

3) Impossible

39.7

44.1

32.0

4) Definitely impossible

27.2

22.9

34.7

5) DK/NA

2.7

2.9

2.5

 

 

 

 

47) And what about the majority of Israelis, do they, in your opinion, believe that lasting peace is possible between Israelis and Palestinians?

1) Definitely they do

3.6

2.5

5.4

2) They do

27.3

28.5

25.2

3) They do not

45.9

47.1

43.8

4) Definitely they do not

15.8

12.7

21.1

5) DK/NA

7.4

9.1

4.5

 

 

 

 

48) In your opinion, should the US increase or decrease its involvement in trying to solve the Israeli Palestinian conflict

1) Sould greatly increase its involvement

68.5

64.6

75.2

2) Should somewhat increase its involvement

10.3

11.3

8.7

3) Should somewhat decrease its involvement

6.1

7.7

3.3

4) Should greatly decrease its involvement

9.1

9.2

8.9

5) DK/NA

6.1

7.3

3.9

 

 

 

 

49) In your view, will the second Bush administration be more or less supportive of Israel during the next four years?

1) Certainly will be more supportive

65.0

61.9

70.5

2) Think it wil be more supportive

13.6

16.6

8.5

3) Think will not change

6.4

5.9

7.2

4) Think will be less supportive

8.5

7.9

9.5

5) Definitely will be less supportive

2.4

3.5

0.6

6) DK/NA

4.0

4.2

3.7

 

 

 

 

50) In the past, two serious attempts were made to reach an agreement between Israel and the Palestinians which failed: the Oslo process in 1993, and the Camp-David summit in 2000. I am going to read you now some reasons offered for the failure of the Oslo process. For each reason tell me whether you strongly agree, agree, disagree, or stronglydisagree with it.

50-1) The Oslo process failed because it was a partial, stage by stage process, rather than a comprehensive solution of all issues at once, and thus created an incentive to disrupt it

1) Strongly agree

23.4

21.2

27.1

2) Agree

50.5

53.7

45.0

3) Disagree

15.2

13.3

18.4

4) Strongly disagree

3.2

2.9

3.7

5) DK/NA

7.8

9.0

5.8

 

 

 

 

50-2) The Oslo process failed because Israel was not forthcoming enough and continued to build settlements

1) Strongly agree

34.4

32.4

38.0

2) Agree

53.9

56.5

49.6

3) Disagree

5.1

4.1

6.8

4) Strongly disagree

1.8

1.3

2.7

5) DK/NA

4.7

5.8

2.9

 

 

 

 

50-3) The Oslo process failed because Palestinians were not forthcoming enough and maintained the use of violence

1) Strongly agree

8.0

6.5

10.5

2) Agree

26.9

26.7

27.3

3) Disagree

44.3

45.7

41.9

4) Strongly disagree

15.0

13.9

16.9

5) DK/NA

5.8

7.2

3.3

 

 

 

 

51) And of the above reasons, which  was the most important one for the failing of the Oslo process?

1) The process failed because the partial and stage design encouraged its disruption

32.5

33.8

30.4

2) The process failed because Israel continued building settlements

54.4

52.6

57.4

3) The process failed because the Palestinians continued to use violence

5.1

4.4

6.2

4) DK/NA

8.0

9.1

6.0

 

 

 

 

52) And which  was the second most important reason for the failure of the Oslo procees?

1) The process failed because the partial and stage design encouraged its disruption

42.4

40.6

54.7

2) The process failed because Israel continued building settlements

35.5

37.5

32.0

3) The process failed because the Palestinians continued to use violence

10.5

10.1

11.2

4) DK/NA

11.5

11.8

11.0

 

 

 

 

53) I am going to read to you now some reasons offered for the failure of the Camp-David summit between Barak and Arafat in 2000. For each reason tell me whether you strongly agree, agree, disagree, or stronglydisagree with it.

53-1) The summit failed because the problems were too numerous and the differences too big to be solved all at once

1) Strongly agree

22.9

22.0

24.6

2) Agree

53.9

55.5

51.2

3) Disagree

12.9

11.6

15.1

4) Strongly disagree

2.1

1.8

2.7

5) DK/NA

8.1

9.1

6.4

 

 

 

 

53-2) The summit failed because Barak yielded much less than he claimed he did

1) Strongly agree

29.6

28.7

31.2

2) Agree

54.0

55.0

52.3

3) Disagree

7.9

7.1

9.3

4) Strongly disagree

1.5

1.6

1.4

5) DK/NA

7.0

7.7

5.8

 

 

 

 

53-3) The summit failed because Arafat did not seriously intend to reach a final and comprehensive settlement with Israel

1) Strongly agree

6.8

5.6

8.9

2) Agree

15.6

15.1

16.5

3) Disagree

46.7

47.1

46.1

4) Strongly disagree

23.1

22.7

23.8

5) DK/NA

7.7

9.5

4.8

 

 

 

 

54) Of the above reasons, which was the most important one for the failure of of the Camp-David summit?

1) The summit failed because the differences were too big to be solved all at once

36.0

38.7

31.4

2) The summit failed because Barak did yield enough

50.2

47.5

54.8

3) The summit failed because Arafat did not seriously intend to reach a final agreement

4.6

3.8

6.0

4) DK/NA

9.1

10.0

7.6

 

 

 

 

55) And which  was the second most important reason for the failure of the Camp-David summit?

1) The summit failed because the differences were too big to be solved all at once

45.5

43.2

49.6

2) The summit failed because Barak did yield enough

35.9

38.8

30.8

3) The summit failed because Arafat did not seriously intend to reach a final agreement

6.0

4.8

8.1

4) DK/NA

12.5

13.1

11.4

 

 

 

 

56) Would you say that these days your security and safety, and that of your family, is assured or not assured?

1) Completely assured

3.5

1.4

7.0

2) Assured

26.1

16.3

43.0

3) Not assured

52.5

60.3

39.3

4) Not assured at all

17.3

21.1

10.7

5) DK/NA

0.5

0.8

0.0

 

 

 

 

57) There are internal and external calls for wide and fundamental domestic reforms and changes in the institutions and authorities of the Palestinian Authority. Do you support or oppose these calls?

1) Strongly support

33.7

28.5

42.6

2) Support

57.7

61.8

50.6

3) Oppose

5.5

6.0

4.8

4) Strongly oppose

2.0

2.4

1.2

5) DK/NA

1.1

1.3

0.8

 

 

 

 

58) Do you think that there is corruption in PA institutions?

1) Yes

86.5

85.6

88.2

2) No

8.2

8.8

7.2

3) DK/NA

5.1

5.6

4.1

 

 

 

 

59) If yes, Will this corruption in PA institutions increase, decrease or remain as it is in the future?

1) Will increase

34.0

36.4

29.9

2) Will remain as it is

16.5

19.6

11.3

3) will decrease

41.7

36.1

51.0

4) DK/NA

7.8

7.9

7.8

 

 

 

 

60) Concerning armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside Israel, I….

1) Strongly support

9.7

7.9

12.8

2) Support

27.8

26.1

30.8

3) Oppose

50.5

53.0

46.3

4) Strongly oppose

8.5

8.4

8.7

5) DK/NA

3.4

4.6

1.4

 

 

 

 

61) Since a ceasefire agreement has been reached between the two sides, if some Palestinian groups continued to attack Israeli targets, would you approve or oppose, in this case, the Palestinian Authority taking measures to prevent them?

1) Approve

55.6

52.8

60.5

2) Oppose

39.4

41.2

36.2

3) DK/NA

4.8

6.0

2.7

 

 

 

 

62) B’tsalem is an Israeli organization for human rights in the occupied Palestinian land, have you heard of it?

1) No, I have not 

61.8

59.1

66.3

2) yes, I have

38.2

40.9

33.7

 

 

 

 

62a) If you have heard of it, how would you evaluate its work, positvely or negatively?

1) Highly positively

5.1

4.8

5.6

2) positively

51.9

56.0

42.9

3) negatively

19.7

16.8

26.1

4) highly negatively

5.7

4.5

8.1

5) DK/NA

17.7

17.9

17.4

 

 

 

 

63) Which of the following political parties do you support?

1) 1 PPP

0.4

0.6

0.0

2) PFLP

2.0

2.2

1.7

3) Fateh

35.5

35.6

35.3

4) Hamas

25.1

20.8

32.4

5) DFLP

0.9

1.3

0.2

6) Islamic Jihad

2.3

2.8

1.4

7) Fida

0.3

0.5

0.0

8) National Inititiative (Mubadara)

1.1

1.6

0.2