PSR - Survey Research Unit: Poll No. 19 - Main Results in Numbers
PSR Poll No. 19 - Main Results in numbers

PSR poll No. 19

16-18 March 2006

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

01)Are you satisfied or not satisfied with the performance of Mahmud Abbas since his election as president of the PA?

1) very satisfied

9.2

8.3

10.6

2) satisfied

52.2

50.9

54.5

3) not satisfied

28.3

29.4

26.5

4) not satisfied at all

8.2

8.7

7.2

5) DK/NA

2.1

2.7

1.1

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

02) If new presidential elections were to take place in the PA, whom do you prefere to see president of the PA?

1) Mahmoud Abbas

36.5

36.0

37.2

2) Mahoud Zahhar

25.2

25.9

23.8

3) Mustafa Barghouti

15.0

13.9

16.8

4) Others

12.1

10.8

14.3

5) No Opinion/ Don't know

11.3

13.4

7.8

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

03) And if you were to select a vice president, whom would you choose?

1) Mahmoud Zahhar

10.5

11.8

8.2

2) Mohammad Dahlan

8.0

3.4

16.1

3) Marwan Barghouti

19.8

23.7

13.0

4) Mustafa Barghouti

5.9

6.3

5.2

5) Ahmad Qurií

1.9

2.6

0.7

6) Ismael Haneyeh

30.0

25.6

37.7

7) Saeb Erikat

5.6

6.6

3.9

8) Farouq Qaddomi

7.2

7.1

7.4

9) Others

3.7

4.5

2.3

10) No Opinion /Donít know

7.4

8.5

5.5

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

04) To whom of the following lists did you vote in the legislative elections that took place in January 25, 2006?

1) alternative

1.7

1.8

1.6

2) independent Palestine

2.6

2.8

2.2

3) Abu Ali Mustafa

2.9

3.5

2.0

4) Abu al Abbas

0.4

0.4

0.5

5) freedom and social justice

0.2

0.3

6) change and reform

46.2

43.6

50.0

7) national coalition for justice and democracy

0.2

0.2

0.3

8) third way

1.0

1.5

0.3

9) freedom and independence

0.3

0.1

0.6

10) Palestinian justice

0.1

0.1

0.0

11) Fateh

44.4

45.7

42.4

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

05) If new elections are held today and the same lists that took part in the last PLC elections were nominated, for whom would you vote?

1) alternative

1.4

1.6

1.2

2) independent Palestine

3.5

3.8

2.9

3) Abu Ali Mustafa

2.6

3.0

2.0

4) Abu al Abbas

0.3

0.3

0.2

5) freedom and social justice

0.3

0.5

0.0

6) change and reform

47.0

44.7

50.7

7) national coalition for justice and democ

0.3

0.5

0.0

8) third way

0.8

1.1

0.3

9) freedom and independence

0.4

0.4

0.3

10) Palestinian justice

0.2

0.1

0.3

11) Fateh

38.9

40.3

36.6

12) none of the above/ DK/NA/ Do not remember

4.4

3.8

5.5

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

06) Given the results of PLC elections which took place about two months ago, some say that Hamas won because most voters wanted first and foremost (select one only):

1) a fighting authority that resists occupation

6.7

6.9

6.4

2) a clean authority that fights corruption

35.6

36.4

34.3

3) a strong authority that ends anarchy and chaos

9.4

9.2

9.7

4) an Islamic authority that rules according to Sharia and religion

36.6

35.4

38.7

5) other reasons: specify ----

9.3

10.1

7.8

6) DK/NA

2.4

2.1

3.0

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

07) Some say that Fateh Lost these elections because most voters first and foremost (select only)

1) punished it for the failure of the peace process

5.1

5.2

4.8

2) punished it for the spread of corruption in the PA

51.9

53.8

48.6

3) punished it for its inability to put an end to anarchy and chaos

17.2

14.8

21.3

4) it was divided leaderless

18.9

19.5

17.8

5) other reasons: specify -----

3.7

3.5

4.0

6) DK/NA

3.3

3.2

3.4

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

08) And why in your opinion did the Left (such as the PFLP, the DFLP, Fida, Peopleís Party, and al Mubadara) lose the elections

1) because it was divided

27.1

25.4

30.1

2) because of its political positions

15.5

15.1

16.4

3) because of lack of trust in its leadership

33.8

33.6

34.2

4) others: specify -------

11.0

12.1

9.1

5) DK/NA

12.5

13.8

10.2

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

09) Do you expect Hamas to succeed or fail in its work in leading and managing the affairs of the PA?

1) Certainly succeed

18.7

13.7

27.4

2) Succeed

51.7

54.4

47.1

3) fail

19.2

20.6

16.7

4) certainly fail

3.1

3.8

2.0

5) DK/NA

7.3

7.6

6.8

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

10) The PLO and the PA have recognized the state of Israel as part of the peace process which was based on the Oslo Agreement. Hamas refused and still refuses to recognize Israel. What do you think? Now that it has won the elections, should Hamas recognize or not recognize the state of Israel?†††

1) It should recognize the state of Israel

35.7

36.3

34.7

2) It should not recognize the state of Israel

60.8

59.6

63.0

3) DK/NA

3.5

4.1

2.3

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

11) The Western donor community provides the PA economic and financial assistance reaching about one billion dollars every year. Do you think the PA can or can not do without this assistance?

1) it certainly can do without it

7.5

6.2

9.7

2) it can do without it

23.0

23.7

21.7

3) it can not do without it

40.1

42.1

36.6

4) it certainly can not do without it

27.8

26.3

30.4

5) DK/NA

1.7

1.7

1.6

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

12) For the assistance to continue, the donor community demand that Hamas must recognize the state of Israel. Do you think Hamas should accept this demand and recognize Israel?

1) Certainly yes

11.6

11.4

12.1

2) yes

25.5

24.8

26.6

3) no

42.0

44.0

38.5

4) certainly no

17.2

16.0

19.5

5) DK/NA

3.7

3.8

3.4

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

13) If Hamas refuses to recognize Israel, do you think the donor community will indeed stop assisting the PA?

1) certainly it will stop the assistance

18.4

18.3

18.6

2) it will stop the assistance

32.0

34.2

28.0

3) it will not stop the assistance

35.3

34.7

36.4

4) certainly it will not stop the assistance

10.0

8.2

13.1

5) DN/NA

4.3

4.5

3.8

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

14) If the donor community does cut off its aid, do you believe the PA would collapse?

1) certainly it will collapse

17.7

14.9

22.5

2) it will collapse

33.5

35.3

30.4

3) it will not collapse

38.1

39.9

34.9

4) certainly it will not collapse

7.9

6.5

10.4

5) DK/NA

2.8

3.4

1.8

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

15) If the donor community cut off support to the PA, do you think Hamas would find alternative sources, for example from Arab and Muslim countries?

1) certainly it will find

24.5

19.3

33.6

2) it will find

53.5

57.8

46.1

3) it will not find

15.4

16.2

14.0

4) certainly it will not find

3.8

3.7

4.0

5) DK/NA

2.8

3.1

2.3

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

16) What do you think will happen? Do you expect Hamas to agree to the demands of the donor community by recognizing Israel or will it not agree to do that?

1) certainly it will agree

5.3

4.6

6.6

2) it will agree

35.1

37.1

31.6

3) it will not agree

42.5

43.0

41.7

4) certainly it will not agree

10.7

8.4

14.7

5) DK/NA

6.4

6.9

5.4

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

17) If Israel agrees to conduct peace negotiations with a Hamas-led PA, do you think the Hamas-led PA should or should not negotiate with Israel?

1) certainly it should negotiate

26.2

26.1

26.3

2) it should negotiate

48.9

51.1

45.0

3) it should not negotiate

16.7

15.3

19.2

4) certainly it should not negotiate

5.2

3.9

7.5

5) DK/NA

3.0

3.6

2.0

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

18) A conflict exists at the moment over who should control the security services: the cabinet led by Hamas or president Mahmud Abbas from Fateh. What do think, who should control the security services?

1) the cabinet

24.5

23.8

25.8

2) the president

27.1

25.5

29.9

3) both

37.1

39.2

33.5

4) one part should come under the cabinet and another under the president

7.9

7.0

9.5

5) other: specify -----

0.7

1.1

6) DK/NA

2.7

3.5

1.3

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

19) Are you worried or not worried about your personal freedom now that Hamas has won the elections?

1) very worried

8.1

7.4

9.4

2) worried

22.2

21.4

23.7

3) not worried

43.3

45.8

39.0

4) not worried at all

25.4

24.4

27.0

5) DK/NA

1.0

1.0

0.9

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

20) In your opinion, the elected PLC should enjoy:

1) Same powers as those of president Mahmud Abbas

32.4

31.6

33.7

2) Greater powers than those of President Mahmud Abbas

44.2

43.3

45.6

3) Less powers than those of President Mahmud Abbas

19.1

19.3

18.9

4) DK/NA

4.3

5.8

1.8

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

21) We would like to ask you about your expectations from the PLC you had just elected. Do you want it to

1) implement the Road Map Plan

53.0

49.9

58.5

2) not to implement the Road Map Plan

39.7

42.0

35.6

3) DK/ NA

7.3

8.1

5.9

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

22) And with regard to the arms in the hands of the armed factions, do you want it to:

1) to pass laws to collect arms from all armed groups whereby the PA security services would be the only armed force in PA areas?

49.3

45.1

56.6

2) to pass laws to keep arms of the armed factions in the hands of the armed factions

27.1

27.0

27.2

3) not to interfere in the issue of the arms of the factions

20.8

23.8

15.5

4) DK/NA

2.8

4.1

0.7

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

23) What do you expect to happen to the Palestinians and Israelis now that Hamas has won Palestinian elections?

1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop

17.8

16.5

20.1

2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue

40.8

37.4

46.8

3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to negotiations

34.1

37.7

27.8

4) DK/NA

7.3

8.4

5.3

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

24) There is a proposal to absorb the members of armed groups belonging to Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and Fateh into the security services whereby all armed forces become part of the Palestinian Authority. Do you support or oppose this proposal?

1) strongly support

28.8

25.2

35.2

2) support

52.6

55.8

47.1

3) oppose

12.6

12.7

12.5

4) strongly oppose

3.3

2.7

4.5

5) DK/NA

2.6

3.7

0.7

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

25) Would you welcome or not welcome a further Israeli disengagements and withdrawals in the West Bank whether they were unilateral or by agreement?

1) definitely welcome

32.0

27.3

40.3

2) welcome

53.9

56.2

49.9

3) do not welcome

10.3

11.6

8.0

4) definitely do not welcome

2.2

2.7

1.4

5) DK/NA

1.6

2.2

0.5

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

26) Do you prefer to see the Palestinian Authority and Israel negotiate further disengagements or withdrawals in the West Bank or do you prefer to see Israel withdraw unilaterally without negotiations?

1) I definitely prefer to see the PA and Israel negotiate the withdrawal and disengagement

51.7

53.0

49.4

2) I think I prefer to see the PA and Israel negotiate the withdrawal and disengagement

20.9

19.9

22.8

3) I think I prefer to see Israel unilaterally withdraw without negotiations

16.0

15.6

16.8

4) I definitely prefer to see Israel unilaterally withdraw without negotiations

6.9

6.6

7.5

5) DK/NA

4.4

4.9

3.5

 

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