Survey Research Unit

Poll No. 20 - 15-17 June 2006… continued

	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
24) The following is a list of problems confronting the Palestinians today, tell us which one is the most important problem?
1) spread of unemployment and poverty	33.1	34.8	30.1
2) continuation of occupation and its daily practices	25.6	27.7	21.9
3) internal anarchy	17.1	13.2	24.0
4) spread of corruption and lack of internal reforms	22.2	22.4	22.0
5) others (specify: ----------- )	1.4	1.4	1.4
6) DK/NA	0.6	0.5	0.7
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
25) Palestinians are currently debating the issue of the collection of arms from armed Palestinian groups and factions, stipulated in the Road Map as a PA commitment. Do you support or oppose such a collection of arms?
1) Strongly support	19.2	17.1	22.8
2) support	39.1	40.3	36.9
3) oppose	29.1	31.0	25.8
4) strongly oppose	9.6	7.6	13.1
5) DK/NA	3.0	4.0	1.3
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
26) Do you support or oppose the current mutual cease fire with Israel?
1) Definitely support	16.6	17.6	15.0
2) Support	54.1	54.6	53.2
3) Oppose	21.7	21.1	22.9
4) Definitely oppose	5.4	4.4	7.3
5) DK/NA	2.1	2.4	1.6
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
27) In his speech in front of the PLC, president Mahmud Abbas (Abu Mazin) said that after the end of the occupation of the Gaza Strip, there will be only one armed force, that of the PA. After the completion of the Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip, do you support or oppose collection of arms from armed factions in the *Gaza* *Strip* so that the only armed force in Gaza would be that of the Palestinian security services?
1) certainly support	19.4	17.9	22.0
2) support	50.5	51.1	49.3
3) oppose	20.5	21.9	17.9
4) certainly oppose	6.6	5.1	9.1
5) DK/NA	3.1	4.0	1.6
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
28) If a peace agreement is reached, and a Palestinian state is established and recognized by Israel, would you support or oppose the efforts to reach full reconciliation between Israel and the Palestinian state?
1) Would strongly support	14.4	15.5	12.6
2) Would support	56.2	55.9	56.8
3) Would oppose	20.0	20.0	19.9
4) Would strongly oppose	7.2	5.8	9.6
5) DK/NA	2.2	2.7	1.1
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
29) After reaching a peace agreement between the Palestinian people and Israel and the establishment of a Palestinian state that is recognized by Israel, how soon do you think will reconciliation between the two peoples be achieved?
1) Reconciliation is not possible ever	49.2	44.7	56.9
2) Only in many generations to come	13.5	14.4	11.9
3) Only in the next generation	8.2	9.0	6.7
4) Only in the next decade	5.5	5.7	5.2
5) On the next few years	12.7	12.8	12.6
6) No Opinion /Don’t know	10.9	13.3	6.7
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
30) Concerning armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside Israel, I….
1) Strongly support	24.7	16.5	38.8
2) Support	31.4	32.0	30.3
3) Oppose	36.2	42.1	25.9
4) Strongly oppose	5.8	6.5	4.5
5) DK/NA	2.0	2.9	0.4

31) Do you believe that armed confrontations so far has helped achieved Palestinian national and political rights in ways that negotiations could not achieve?
1) Definitely yes	21.0	11.7	37.1
2) Yes	33.0	32.9	33.3
3) No	36.0	43.1	23.6
4) Definitely no	6.2	7.5	4.0
5) DK/NA	3.7	4.7	2.0
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
32) Do you think that there is corruption in PA institutions?
1) Yes	86.2	85.5	87.5
2) No	7.5	6.6	9.2
3) DK/NA	6.3	7.9	3.4
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
33) If yes, Will this corruption in PA institutions increase, decrease or remain as it is in the future?
1) Will increase	39.3	42.6	33.6
2) Will remain as it is	11.2	10.8	11.9
3) will decrease	42.2	38.3	48.9
4) DK/NA	7.3	8.3	5.6
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
34) Would you say that these days your security and safety, and that of your family, is assured or not assured?
1) Completely assured	1.2	1.0	1.4
2) Assured	16.8	17.8	15.0
3) Not assured	52.0	54.4	47.8
4) Not assured at all	29.6	26.3	35.3
5) DK/NA	0.5	0.5	0.5
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
35) How would you evaluate the current status of democracy and human rights in the Palestinian Authority? Would you say it is:
1) Very good	4.3	3.8	5.2
2) Good	23.7	23.7	23.8
3) Fair	23.8	24.9	21.8
4) Bad	26.8	28.0	24.8
5) Very bad	18.6	16.0	23.1
6) DK/NA	2.7	3.5	1.4
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
36) The US, Russia, the European Community and the UN, the so called "Quartet", have put forward a "Roadmap" for the implementation of a final settlement within 3 years. The plan includes political reforms in the Palestinian Authority, including a constitution and election of a strong Prime Minister, stopping the incitement and violence on both sides under the Quartet's supervision, a freeze on settlements and the establishment of a Palestinian State within provisional borders. The next phase will see negotiations on the final borders under the auspices of an international conference. Do you support or oppose this initiative?
1) Strongly support	6.3	6.9	5.2
2) Support	45.9	45.2	47.2
3) Oppose	30.9	32.7	28.0
4) Strongly oppose	12.0	10.1	15.3
5) Don’t know/No answer	4.9	5.2	4.4
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
37) When Palestinians and Israelis return to final status negotiations the following items might be presented to negotiators as the elements of a permanent compromise settlement. Tell us what you think of each item then tell us what you think of all combined as one permanent status settlement: 1. An Israeli withdrawal from all of the Gaza Strip and the evacuation of its settlements. But in the West Bank, Israel withdraws and evacuates settlements from most of it, with the exception of few settlement areas in less than 3% of the West Bank that would be exchanged with an equal amount of territory from Israel in accordance with the attached map {show map}. 2. An independent Palestinian state would be established in the areas from which Israel withdraws in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip; the Palestinian state will have no army, but it will have a strong security force but an international multinational force would be deployed to insure the safety and security of the state. Both sides will be committed to end all forms of violence directed against each other. 3. East Jerusalem would become the capital of the Palestinian state with Arab neighborhoods coming under Palestinian sovereignty and Jewish neighborhoods coming under Israel sovereignty. The Old City (including al Haram al Sharif) would come under Palestinian sovereignty with the exception of the Jewish Quarter and the Wailing Wall that will come under Israeli sovereignty. 4. With regard to the refugee question, both sides agree that the solution will be based on UN resolutions 194 and 242 and on the Arab peace initiative. The refugees will be given five choices for permanent residency. These are: the Palestinian state and the Israeli areas transferred to the Palestinian state in the territorial exchange mentioned above; no restrictions would be imposed on refugee return to these two areas. Residency in the other three areas (in host countries, third countries, and Israel) would be subject to the decision of the states in those areas. The number of refugees returning to Israel will be based on the average number of refugees admitted to third countries like Australia, Canada, Europe, and others. All refugees will be entitled to compensation for their "refugeehood" and loss of properties. 5. When the permanent status agreement is fully implemented, it will mean the end of the conflict and no further claims will be made by either side. The parties will recognize Palestine and Israel as the homelands of their respective peoples 6. The Palestinian state will have sovereignty over its land, water, and airspace. But Israeli will be allowed to use the Palestinian airspace for training purposes, and will maintain two early warning stations in the West Bank for 15 years. The multinational force will remain in the Palestinian state for an indefinite period of time and its responsibility will be to insure the implementation of the agreement, and to monitor territorial borders and coast of the Palestinian state including its international border crossings. Now that you have been informed of each element of the permanent compromise settlement, tell us what you think of each of its item. Do you agree or disagree with it.
37-1) Item #1: withdrawal to 1967 borders with territorial swap
1) Strongly agree	9.3	9.9	8.3
2) Agree	44.5	44.0	45.5
3) Disagree	31.5	32.9	28.9
4) Strongly Disagree	12.2	10.6	15.0
5) No Opinion /Don’t Know	2.5	2.6	2.3
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
37-2) Item #2: a state without an army but with international forces
1) Strongly agree	3.8	4.1	3.4
2) Agree	20.9	21.9	19.0
3) Disagree	51.5	52.3	50.1
4) Strongly Disagree	22.3	20.4	25.7
5) No Opinion /Don’t Know	1.5	1.3	1.8
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
37-3) Item #3: East Jerusalem as capital of the state of Palestine after it is divided
1) Strongly agree	4.5	4.9	4.0
2) Agree	30.7	35.1	22.9
3) Disagree	43.1	43.1	43.1
4) Strongly Disagree	19.9	15.1	28.2
5) No Opinion /Don’t Know	1.8	1.9	1.8
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
37-4) Item #4: refugees with five options for permanent residence
1) Strongly agree	4.3	3.6	5.5
2) Agree	37.0	36.9	37.1
3) Disagree	38.0	40.1	34.4
4) Strongly Disagree	16.9	15.4	19.4
5) No Opinion /Don’t Know	3.9	4.0	3.6
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
37-5) Item #5: end of conflict
1) Strongly agree	7.4	7.2	7.7
2) Agree	50.1	54.3	42.8
3) Disagree	26.5	25.7	27.8
4) Strongly Disagree	13.2	10.2	18.5
5) No Opinion /Don’t Know	2.8	2.6	3.1
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
37-6) Item #6: a sovereign state with security arrangements
1) Strongly agree	4.6	4.5	4.7
2) Agree	34.9	36.9	31.4
3) Disagree	39.7	41.2	37.2
4) Strongly Disagree	18.0	14.5	23.9
5) No Opinion /Don’t Know	2.8	2.9	2.7
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
37-7) Item #7: the combined elements as one permanent status settlement
1) Strongly agree	3.9	3.7	4.3
2) Agree	39.6	41.5	36.3
3) Disagree	38.3	39.2	36.7
4) Strongly Disagree	14.3	11.1	19.8
5) No Opinion /Don’t Know	3.9	4.5	2.9
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
38) And what is the Palestinian majority opinion on this combined package for a permanent status settlement? Do most Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza support or oppose this combined final status package?
1) Majority supports	42.7	42.6	42.8
2) Majority opposes	44.2	43.2	45.8
3) DK/NA	13.2	14.1	11.4
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
39) And what is the Israeli majority opinion on this combined package for a permanent status settlement? Do most Israelis support or oppose this combined final status package?
1) Majority supports	39.1	36.9	43.0
2) Majority opposes	45.5	46.6	43.5
3) DK/NA	15.4	16.5	13.5
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
40) How soon do you think will a political settlement between Israel and the Palestinians be achieved?
1) A political settlement is not possible ever	51.4	45.7	61.4
2) Only in many generations to come	16.2	17.9	13.2
3) Only in the next generation	5.9	7.1	3.8
4) Only in the next decade	3.7	4.5	2.2
5) Only in the next few years	13.1	13.2	12.8
6) No Opinion /Don’t know	9.8	11.6	6.5
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
41) A bombing attack took place in Tel Aviv last April leading to the death of 11 Israelis. Do you support or oppose this bombing attack?
1) certainly support	29.4	20.7	44.5
2) support	40.0	40.6	38.9
3) oppose	23.7	30.1	12.8
4) certainly oppose	2.9	3.3	2.2
5) DK/NA	4.0	5.4	1.6
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
42) There is a proposal to absorb the members of armed groups belonging to Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and Fateh into the security services whereby all armed forces become part of the Palestinian Authority. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
1) strongly support	29.1	26.2	34.1
2) support	56.5	58.8	52.5
3) oppose	10.1	10.9	8.8
4) strongly oppose	2.8	2.1	4.1
5) DK/NA	1.4	2.0	0.5
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
43) After reaching a peace agreement and the establishment of a Palestinian state that is recognized by Israel, the following are steps that may be taken in order to enhance normalization between the state of Israel and a Palestinian state. For each of the suggested steps please tell me whether you support or oppose it:
43-1) Item #1: Open borders to free movement of people and goods
1) Strongly Support	24.9	25.2	24.4
2) Support	59.9	61.4	57.4
3) Oppose	10.7	10.0	11.9
4) Strongly Oppose	3.3	2.1	5.3
5) DK/NA	1.2	1.4	0.9
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
43-2) Item #2: Create joint economic institutions and ventures
1) Strongly Support	18.5	18.4	18.6
2) Support	55.7	56.2	55.0
3) Oppose	19.6	20.6	18.0
4) Strongly Oppose	4.7	3.5	6.8
5) DK/NA	1.4	1.4	1.6
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
43-3) Item #3: Create joint political institutions designed eventually to lead to a confederate system
1) Strongly Support	8.3	7.8	9.1
2) Support	29.1	30.6	26.6
3) Oppose	46.5	47.3	45.1
4) Strongly Oppose	12.4	9.8	17.0
5) DK/NA	3.7	4.5	2.3
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
43-4) Item #4: Take legal measures against incitement against the Israelis
1) Strongly Support	4.5	4.8	3.9
2) Support	28.2	29.9	25.4
3) Oppose	48.9	49.1	48.7
4) Strongly Oppose	15.1	12.3	19.8
5) DK/NA	3.3	3.9	2.3
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
43-5) Item #5: Adopt a school curriculum that recognizes Israel and teaches school children not to demand return of all Palestine to the Palestinians
1) Strongly Support	1.6	1.4	1.9
2) Support	8.1	9.7	5.4
3) Oppose	52.3	55.7	46.2
4) Strongly Oppose	35.2	29.7	44.9
5) DK/NA	2.7	3.4	1.6
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
44) And on a personal level, would you, under conditions of peace, invite a Israeli colleague or acquaintance to visit you in your home?
1) definitely yes	4.8	5.2	4.0
2) Yes	27.4	30.0	22.9
3) No	39.6	42.1	35.3
4) Definitely no	26.8	21.3	36.2
5) DK/NA	1.4	1.3	1.6
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
45) And would you, under conditions of peace, visit an Israeli colleague or acquaintance in his home?
1) Definitely yes	5.2	5.2	5.1
2) Yes	27.2	29.0	24.3
3) No	40.0	43.7	33.6
4) Definitely no	26.3	20.9	35.6
5) DK/NA	1.3	1.2	1.4
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
46) What do you expect to happen now to the two sides after Olmerts’ Conversion plan for disengagement in the West Bank has been made public and after the Prisoners’ Document has been release, national dialogue started and the president has issued a decree for the conduct of a referendum?
1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop	13.3	14.2	11.6
2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue	38.4	35.1	44.1
3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to negotiations	39.1	40.0	37.5
4) DK/NA	9.2	10.6	6.8
	Total	West Bank	Gaza Strip
47) Which of the following political parties do you support?
1) PPP	0.9	1.3	0.2
2) PFLP	3.3	2.9	4.1
3) Fateh	33.7	33.0	34.8
4) Hamas	32.9	30.9	36.3
5) DFLP	0.7	1.0	0.2
6) Islamic Jihad	1.6	2.0	0.9
7) Fida	0.1	0.1	0.0
8) National Initiative (Mubadara)	0.9	1.1	0.4
9) Independent Islamists	2.1	1.8	2.7
10) Independent Nationalists	2.6	3.2	1.6
11) None of the above	21.0	22.3	18.7
12) Other, specify	0.2	0.4	0.0